eBay Inc.

EBAY · Consumer Cyclical · · USD

103.41 USD

0.00 (-2.31%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 21:04 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score BUY Long-term (Investment)

/ 100

Technical 75

Trend & RS 64

Momentum 53

Fundamental 78

Macro 64

Liquidity 48

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	75.0	10%
Trend & RS	64.1	10%
Momentum	52.7	5%
Fundamental	77.8	40%
Macro	64.4	15%
Liquidity	48.5	20%

Trade Setup

Entry	103.41
Stop Loss	96.81 (6.4%)
Target 1 (1:1)	110.01 (+6.4%)
Target 2 (2:1)	116.61 (+12.8%)

ATR(14)	3.30 (3.2%)
Risk per Share	6.60
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	38.0	-0.48
Momentum	52.7	+0.11
Quality	57.3	+0.29
Composite	49.3

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 5 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 8.21 — Safe Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	21.7	18.0	+21% above
P/B Ratio	9.9	2.5	Above
Dividend Yield	1.2%	2.0%	Below avg

Comparing against Consumer Cyclical median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Fairly Valued

Intrinsic Value

100.12

Market Price

103.41

Upside

-3.2%

Margin of Safety	-3.3%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	9,925,210,476
Terminal Value PV	34,629,355,601
Total Enterprise Value	44,554,566,077

Assumptions

Base FCF	1,694,560,000
Growth Rate (5yr)	14.8%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

43.91%

Full Kelly

21.95%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 67/100. Estimated win rate 60%, avg win 9.0%, avg loss 3.7%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

44.87

RSI(14)

-1.0866

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAKENING

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	↓ FALLING (-9.8% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	UNDERPERFORMING (Consumer Cyclical)
RS New High	No (28d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-9.7% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

WEAKENING: Losing momentum — the stock was performing well but is now falling behind the market.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	44.87	NEUTRAL
Macd	-1.0866	BULLISH
Ma Cross	109.04 / 98.09	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.77x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	119.31
Bollinger Upper	107.93
SMA(200)	98.09
SMA(50)	109.04
SMA(20)	104.18
Current Price	103.41
Bollinger Lower	100.43
52-Week Low	78.03
ATR(14)	3.3

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	1.82x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	0.81x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	1.02x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	0.82x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	0.77x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	105.17	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	107.51	Base line
Senkou A	106.34	Leading span A
Senkou B	108.98	Leading span B
Cloud	106.34 – 108.98	Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud	103.41	Below Cloud
Chikou Span	113.66	Bearish
Alignment Score	0/4	BEARISH