eBay Inc.
EBAY · Consumer Cyclical · · USDFahodi Score HOLD Long-term (Investment)
63
/ 100
Technical
75
Trend & RS
98
Momentum
67
Fundamental
78
Macro
24
Liquidity
37
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 75.0 | 10% |
| Trend & RS | 97.6 | 10% |
| Momentum | 67.3 | 5% |
| Fundamental | 77.8 | 40% |
| Macro | 23.8 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 37.3 | 20% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 121.22 |
| Stop Loss | 113.48 (6.4%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 128.96 (+6.4%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 136.70 (+12.8%) |
| ATR(14) | 3.87 (3.2%) |
| Risk per Share | 7.74 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 30.6 | -0.78 | |
| Momentum | 67.3 | +0.69 | |
| Quality | 54.0 | +0.16 | |
| Composite | 50.6 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
5
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
8.89
—
Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 26.9 | 18.0 | +50% above |
| P/B Ratio | 12.3 | 2.5 | Above |
| Dividend Yield | 1.0% | 2.0% | Below avg |
Comparing against Consumer Cyclical median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
92.19
vs
Market Price
123.44
Upside
-25.3%
| Margin of Safety | -33.9% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 9,144,618,016 |
| Terminal Value PV | 31,325,667,058 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 40,470,285,074 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 1,608,496,000 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 13.7% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
41.26%
Full Kelly
20.63%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 63/100. Estimated win rate 59%, avg win 8.8%, avg loss 3.7%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG BUY
3
Bullish Signals
1
Bearish Signals
57.02
RSI(14)
2.7807
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING
93
/ 99
RS Rating
✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)
| RS vs SPY | ↑ RISING (+17.9% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | OUTPERFORMING (Consumer Cyclical) |
| RS New High | Near 3-month high 2d since high |
| Sector Outperformance | +14.4% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
IMPROVING:
Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 57.02 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 2.7807 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 112.54 / 104.3 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.03x | LOW |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 127.74 |
| Bollinger Upper | 125.54 |
| SMA(200) | 104.3 |
| SMA(50) | 112.54 |
| SMA(20) | 120.29 |
| Current Price | 123.44 |
| Bollinger Lower | 115.03 |
| 52-Week Low | 78.03 |
| ATR(14) | 3.87 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
MARKUP
Confidence
100%
Acc: 0.0 |
Dist: 0.0 |
Markup: 2.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 0.95x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 0.91x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.21x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 0.93x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-06 | No Demand | 0.03x | Low volume, narrow spread, weak close — no buying interest |
Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 121.75 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 116.22 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 118.99 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 113.79 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 113.79 – 118.99 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 121.22 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 106.40 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 4/4 | BULLISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE ON
1 bars
Momentum:
BULLISH FADING
BB: 115.03 – 125.54 | KC: 114.26 – 126.31
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hidden Bullish | RSI | 4 | |
| Hidden Bullish | MACD | 4 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 104.45
Anchor: 2026-02-17 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+16.1%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/EBAY
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 54.19B |
| P/E (TTM) | 26.95 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 12.31 |
| EPS | 4.58 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 13.7% |
| Profit Margin | 16.9% |
| ROE | 46.0% |
| Debt/Equity | 163.40 |
| Current Ratio | 0.78 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.0% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 1.27 |
Trading Data
123.44
Open
123.44
Day High
123.44
Day Low
278.6K
Volume (0.1x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)