eBay Inc.
EBAY · Consumer Cyclical · · USDFahodi Score BUY Short-term (Swing)
70
/ 100
Technical
75
Trend & RS
98
Momentum
70
Fundamental (0%)
56
Macro
22
Liquidity
50
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 75.0 | 40% |
| Trend & RS | 97.6 | 20% |
| Momentum | 70.4 | 20% |
| Fundamental | 55.6 | 0% |
| Macro | 22.5 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 50.5 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 123.35 |
| Stop Loss | 115.33 (6.5%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 131.37 (+6.5%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 139.39 (+13.0%) |
| ATR(14) | 4.01 (3.2%) |
| Risk per Share | 8.02 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 25.6 | -0.97 | |
| Momentum | 70.4 | +0.82 | |
| Quality | 54.0 | +0.16 | |
| Composite | 50.0 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
5
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 26.9 | 18.0 | +50% above |
| P/B Ratio | 12.3 | 2.5 | Above |
| Dividend Yield | 1.0% | 2.0% | Below avg |
Comparing against Consumer Cyclical median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
92.19
vs
Market Price
123.35
Upside
-25.3%
| Margin of Safety | -33.8% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 9,144,617,645 |
| Terminal Value PV | 31,325,665,787 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 40,470,283,432 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 1,608,495,935 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 13.7% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
45.44%
Full Kelly
22.72%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 70/100. Estimated win rate 61%, avg win 9.2%, avg loss 3.6%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG BUY
3
Bullish Signals
1
Bearish Signals
62.12
RSI(14)
2.9605
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) STRONG RS
93
/ 99
RS Rating
✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)
| RS vs SPY | ↑ RISING (+15.5% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | OUTPERFORMING (Consumer Cyclical) |
| RS New High | ✓ RS at 3-month high Institutional accumulation signal |
| Sector Outperformance | +9.1% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
STRONG RS:
Top performer — outperforming the market and making new relative highs. Institutional accumulation likely.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 62.12 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 2.9605 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 112.15 / 104.16 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.9x | NORMAL |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 127.74 |
| Bollinger Upper | 126.18 |
| SMA(200) | 104.16 |
| SMA(50) | 112.15 |
| SMA(20) | 119.83 |
| Current Price | 123.35 |
| Bollinger Lower | 113.48 |
| 52-Week Low | 78.03 |
| ATR(14) | 4.01 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
MARKUP
Confidence
100%
Acc: 0.0 |
Dist: 0.0 |
Markup: 2.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 1.29x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 0.93x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 0.89x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.18x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 0.9x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 121.75 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 116.19 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 118.97 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 113.79 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 113.79 – 118.97 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 123.35 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 105.89 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 4/4 | BULLISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH FADING
BB: 113.48 – 126.18 | KC: 113.82 – 125.85
Divergences (last 60 bars)
No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 104.45
Anchor: 2026-02-17 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+18.1%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BULLISH
Full data via /api/advanced/EBAY
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 54.15B |
| P/E (TTM) | 26.93 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 12.30 |
| EPS | 4.58 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 13.7% |
| Profit Margin | 16.9% |
| ROE | 46.0% |
| Debt/Equity | 163.40 |
| Current Ratio | 0.78 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.0% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 1.27 |
Trading Data
123.35
Open
123.35
Day High
123.35
Day Low
3.92M
Volume (0.9x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)