Elevance Health, Inc.
ELV · Healthcare · · USDFahodi Score BUY Short-term (Swing)
70
/ 100
Technical
75
Trend & RS
96
Momentum
71
Fundamental (0%)
56
Macro
22
Liquidity
73
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 75.0 | 40% |
| Trend & RS | 96.0 | 20% |
| Momentum | 70.6 | 20% |
| Fundamental | 55.6 | 0% |
| Macro | 22.5 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 72.9 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 432.00 |
| Stop Loss | 404.96 (6.3%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 459.04 (+6.3%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 486.08 (+12.5%) |
| ATR(14) | 13.52 (3.1%) |
| Risk per Share | 27.04 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 76.8 | +1.07 | |
| Momentum | 64.2 | +0.57 | |
| Quality | 31.9 | -0.72 | |
| Composite | 57.6 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
5
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✗
✓
✓
✗
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Undervalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 18.3 | 22.0 | -17% below |
| P/B Ratio | 2.1 | 4.0 | Below |
| Dividend Yield | 1.6% | 1.5% | Above avg |
Comparing against Healthcare median multiples.
Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
290.72
vs
Market Price
432.00
Upside
-32.7%
| Margin of Safety | -48.6% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 16,751,339,802 |
| Terminal Value PV | 46,060,205,817 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 62,811,545,619 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 4,070,492,852 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 2.0% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
45.92%
Full Kelly
22.96%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 70/100. Estimated win rate 61%, avg win 9.2%, avg loss 3.6%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG BUY
3
Bullish Signals
1
Bearish Signals
57.41
RSI(14)
4.1778
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) STRONG RS
89
/ 99
RS Rating
✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)
| RS vs SPY | ↑ RISING (+15.0% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Healthcare) |
| RS New High | ✓ RS at 3-month high Institutional accumulation signal |
| Sector Outperformance | -2.9% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
STRONG RS:
Top performer — outperforming the market and making new relative highs. Institutional accumulation likely.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 57.41 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 4.1778 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 412.03 / 371.12 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 1.38x | NORMAL |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 450.69 |
| Bollinger Upper | 445.71 |
| SMA(200) | 371.12 |
| SMA(50) | 412.03 |
| SMA(20) | 426.87 |
| Current Price | 432.00 |
| Bollinger Lower | 408.04 |
| 52-Week Low | 274.84 |
| ATR(14) | 13.52 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 0.84x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.42x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | No Demand | 0.6x | Low volume, narrow spread, weak close — no buying interest |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.13x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.38x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 427.72 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 413.22 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 420.47 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 413.22 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 413.22 – 420.47 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 432.00 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 381.67 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 4/4 | BULLISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE ON
1 bars
Momentum:
BULLISH FADING
BB: 408.04 – 445.71 | KC: 406.28 – 447.47
Divergences (last 60 bars)
No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 374.74
Anchor: 2026-03-09 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+15.3%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BULLISH
Full data via /api/advanced/ELV
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 93.34B |
| P/E (TTM) | 18.34 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 2.09 |
| EPS | 23.55 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 1.4% |
| Profit Margin | 2.5% |
| ROE | 11.5% |
| Debt/Equity | 68.66 |
| Current Ratio | 1.47 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.6% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.63 |
Trading Data
432.00
Open
432.00
Day High
432.00
Day Low
2.11M
Volume (1.8x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)