Emerson Electric Co.
EMR · Industrials · · USDFahodi Score BUY Long-term (Investment)
73
/ 100
Technical
75
Trend & RS
84
Momentum
67
Fundamental
83
Macro
24
Liquidity
84
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 75.0 | 10% |
| Trend & RS | 84.2 | 10% |
| Momentum | 66.8 | 5% |
| Fundamental | 83.3 | 40% |
| Macro | 23.8 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 83.5 | 20% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 162.96 |
| Stop Loss | 152.86 (6.2%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 173.06 (+6.2%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 183.16 (+12.4%) |
| ATR(14) | 5.05 (3.1%) |
| Risk per Share | 10.10 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 45.3 | -0.19 | |
| Momentum | 66.8 | +0.67 | |
| Quality | 35.7 | -0.57 | |
| Composite | 49.3 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
6
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✗
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
6.63
—
Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 34.0 | 18.0 | +89% above |
| P/B Ratio | 4.4 | 3.0 | Above |
| Dividend Yield | 1.5% | 2.0% | Below avg |
Comparing against Industrials median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
73.52
vs
Market Price
162.61
Upside
-54.8%
| Margin of Safety | -121.2% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 10,183,200,234 |
| Terminal Value PV | 30,996,770,393 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 41,179,970,627 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 2,146,303,200 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 7.1% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
47.4%
Full Kelly
23.7%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 73/100. Estimated win rate 62%, avg win 9.4%, avg loss 3.5%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG BUY
3
Bullish Signals
1
Bearish Signals
50.54
RSI(14)
2.0297
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING
60
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | ↑ RISING (+8.0% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | OUTPERFORMING (Industrials) |
| RS New High | Near 3-month high 2d since high |
| Sector Outperformance | +5.9% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
IMPROVING:
Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 50.54 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 2.0297 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 157.91 / 146.86 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.02x | LOW |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 172.00 |
| Bollinger Upper | 170.14 |
| SMA(200) | 146.86 |
| SMA(50) | 157.91 |
| SMA(20) | 163.82 |
| Current Price | 162.61 |
| Bollinger Lower | 157.5 |
| 52-Week Low | 122.64 |
| ATR(14) | 5.05 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
ACCUMULATION E
Confidence
50%
Acc: 1.0 |
Dist: 1.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.01x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 1.2x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.55x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.93x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-06 | No Demand | 0.02x | Low volume, narrow spread, weak close — no buying interest |
Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 166.18 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 163.26 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 164.72 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 158.20 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 158.20 – 164.72 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 162.96 | Inside Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 161.61 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 3/4 | NEUTRAL |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE ON
15 bars
Momentum:
BEARISH FADING
BB: 157.5 – 170.14 | KC: 156.25 – 171.38
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hidden Bullish | RSI | 12 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 148.04
Anchor: 2026-03-30 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+10.1%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/EMR
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 91.08B |
| P/E (TTM) | 33.95 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 4.39 |
| EPS | 4.79 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 7.1% |
| Profit Margin | 14.2% |
| ROE | 13.1% |
| Debt/Equity | 58.66 |
| Current Ratio | 0.94 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.5% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 1.21 |
Trading Data
162.61
Open
162.61
Day High
162.61
Day Low
5.88M
Volume (2.2x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)