Emerson Electric Co.

EMR · Industrials · · USD

152.82 USD

+0.00 (1.74%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 20:05 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score BUY Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 75

Trend & RS 87

Momentum 64

Fundamental 67

Macro 64

Liquidity 50

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	75.0	20%
Trend & RS	87.1	30%
Momentum	64.0	15%
Fundamental	66.7	10%
Macro	64.4	20%
Liquidity	49.5	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	152.82
Stop Loss	144.88 (5.2%)
Target 1 (1:1)	160.76 (+5.2%)
Target 2 (2:1)	168.70 (+10.4%)

ATR(14)	3.97 (2.6%)
Risk per Share	7.94
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	49.0	-0.04
Momentum	64.0	+0.56
Quality	34.9	-0.61
Composite	49.3

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	33.4	18.0	+86% above
P/B Ratio	4.2	3.0	Above
Dividend Yield	1.4%	2.0%	Below avg

Comparing against Industrials median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

69.85

Market Price

152.82

Upside

-54.3%

Margin of Safety	-118.8%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	9,648,848,959
Terminal Value PV	29,314,442,519
Total Enterprise Value	38,963,291,478

Assumptions

Base FCF	2,039,316,965
Growth Rate (5yr)	7.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

47.4%

Full Kelly

23.7%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 73/100. Estimated win rate 62%, avg win 9.4%, avg loss 3.5%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

49.02

RSI(14)

-0.0774

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	↑ RISING (+6.3% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Industrials)
RS New High	No (18d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+10.8% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

IMPROVING: Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	49.02	NEUTRAL
Macd	-0.0774	BEARISH
Ma Cross	149.09 / 141.77	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.91x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	166.35
Bollinger Upper	166.57
SMA(200)	141.77
SMA(50)	149.09
SMA(20)	156.86
Current Price	152.82
Bollinger Lower	147.16
52-Week Low	122.64
ATR(14)	3.97

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	1.02x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	1.21x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	1.29x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	0.71x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	0.91x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	153.08	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	156.07	Base line
Senkou A	154.58	Leading span A
Senkou B	149.44	Leading span B
Cloud	149.44 – 154.58	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	152.82	Inside Cloud
Chikou Span	149.31	Bullish
Alignment Score	2/4	NEUTRAL