Emerson Electric Co.
EMR · Industrials · · USDFahodi Score BUY Mid-term (Position)
66
/ 100
Technical
75
Trend & RS
84
Momentum
72
Fundamental
67
Macro
22
Liquidity
84
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 75.0 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 84.2 | 30% |
| Momentum | 72.0 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 66.7 | 10% |
| Macro | 22.5 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 83.5 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 162.61 |
| Stop Loss | 152.09 (6.5%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 173.13 (+6.5%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 183.65 (+12.9%) |
| ATR(14) | 5.26 (3.2%) |
| Risk per Share | 10.52 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 47.4 | -0.11 | |
| Momentum | 65.4 | +0.62 | |
| Quality | 35.7 | -0.57 | |
| Composite | 49.5 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
6
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✗
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 34.0 | 18.0 | +89% above |
| P/B Ratio | 4.4 | 3.0 | Above |
| Dividend Yield | 1.5% | 2.0% | Below avg |
Comparing against Industrials median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
73.52
vs
Market Price
162.61
Upside
-54.8%
| Margin of Safety | -121.2% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 10,183,199,360 |
| Terminal Value PV | 30,996,767,728 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 41,179,967,088 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 2,146,303,016 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 7.1% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
43.54%
Full Kelly
21.77%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 66/100. Estimated win rate 60%, avg win 9.0%, avg loss 3.7%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG BUY
3
Bullish Signals
1
Bearish Signals
50.0
RSI(14)
2.3803
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING
60
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | ↑ RISING (+8.1% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | OUTPERFORMING (Industrials) |
| RS New High | Near 3-month high 1d since high |
| Sector Outperformance | +5.0% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
IMPROVING:
Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 50.0 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 2.3803 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 157.81 / 146.79 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 1.85x | HIGH |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 172.00 |
| Bollinger Upper | 170.13 |
| SMA(200) | 146.79 |
| SMA(50) | 157.81 |
| SMA(20) | 163.76 |
| Current Price | 162.61 |
| Bollinger Lower | 157.39 |
| 52-Week Low | 122.64 |
| ATR(14) | 5.26 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
DISTRIBUTION C
Confidence
78%
Upthrust (potential)
Acc: 1.0 |
Dist: 3.5 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 1.28x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 0.97x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 1.15x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.49x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.85x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 166.18 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 162.55 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 164.36 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 158.20 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 158.20 – 164.36 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 162.61 | Inside Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 158.57 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 3/4 | NEUTRAL |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE ON
14 bars
Momentum:
BEARISH
BB: 157.39 – 170.13 | KC: 156.11 – 171.41
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hidden Bullish | RSI | 11 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 148.04
Anchor: 2026-03-30 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+9.8%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 91.08B |
| P/E (TTM) | 33.95 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 4.39 |
| EPS | 4.79 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 7.1% |
| Profit Margin | 14.2% |
| ROE | 13.1% |
| Debt/Equity | 58.66 |
| Current Ratio | 0.94 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.5% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 1.21 |
Trading Data
162.61
Open
162.61
Day High
162.61
Day Low
5.88M
Volume (2.2x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)