Equity Residential
EQR · Real Estate · · USDFahodi Score HOLD Long-term (Investment)
53
/ 100
Technical
50
Trend & RS
68
Momentum
49
Fundamental
49
Macro
24
Liquidity
80
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 50.0 | 10% |
| Trend & RS | 67.5 | 10% |
| Momentum | 48.6 | 5% |
| Fundamental | 49.4 | 40% |
| Macro | 23.8 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 79.5 | 20% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 63.66 |
| Stop Loss | 61.52 (3.4%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 65.80 (+3.4%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 67.94 (+6.7%) |
| ATR(14) | 1.07 (1.7%) |
| Risk per Share | 2.14 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 58.0 | +0.32 | |
| Momentum | 48.6 | -0.06 | |
| Quality | 37.3 | -0.51 | |
| Composite | 48.0 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
5
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✗
✓
✓
✗
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
2.16
—
Grey Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 28.7 | 18.0 | +59% above |
| P/B Ratio | 2.3 | 1.5 | Above |
| Dividend Yield | 4.3% | 4.0% | Above avg |
Comparing against Real Estate median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
27.52
vs
Market Price
63.66
Upside
-56.8%
| Margin of Safety | -131.3% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 2,747,930,008 |
| Terminal Value PV | 7,571,625,159 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 10,319,555,167 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 665,859,156 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 2.1% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
34.94%
Full Kelly
17.47%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 53/100. Estimated win rate 56%, avg win 8.2%, avg loss 3.9%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary BUY
2
Bullish Signals
2
Bearish Signals
35.69
RSI(14)
-1.0604
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL
68
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (+2.8% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | INLINE (Real Estate) |
| RS New High | No (34d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -3.1% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL:
In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 35.69 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | -1.0604 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 66.94 / 62.52 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 71.50 |
| Bollinger Upper | 69.44 |
| SMA(200) | 62.52 |
| SMA(50) | 66.94 |
| SMA(20) | 66.01 |
| Current Price | 63.66 |
| Bollinger Lower | 62.57 |
| 52-Week Low | 57.57 |
| ATR(14) | 1.07 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
ACCUMULATION A
Confidence
75%
Selling Climax
Acc: 3.0 |
Dist: 1.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Stopping Volume | 2.55x | High volume down-bar closing near low — potential climax (Stopping Volume) |
| 2026-08-18 | Normal | 0.0x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-08-19 | Normal | 0.0x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-08-20 | Normal | 0.0x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-08-21 | Normal | 0.0x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 64.97 | Below Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 67.03 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 66.00 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 67.23 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 66.00 – 67.23 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 63.66 | Below Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 69.00 | Bearish |
| Alignment Score | 0/4 | BEARISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BEARISH
BB: 62.57 – 69.44 | KC: 64.27 – 67.74
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hidden Bearish | MACD | 13 | |
| Hidden Bullish | RSI | 28 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 64.92
Anchor: 2026-03-20 (52w Low)
BELOW AVWAP
-1.9%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/EQR
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 24.61B |
| P/E (TTM) | 28.68 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 2.27 |
| EPS | 2.22 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 2.1% |
| Profit Margin | 28.0% |
| ROE | 8.0% |
| Debt/Equity | 78.68 |
| Current Ratio | 0.13 |
| Dividend Yield | 4.3% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.75 |
Trading Data
63.66
Open
63.66
Day High
63.66
Day Low
7.45M
Volume (2.3x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)