Equity Residential

EQR · Real Estate · · USD

63.66 USD

0.00 (-3.50%)

● Updated 2026-08-25 22:52 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Short-term (Swing)

/ 100

Technical 50

Trend & RS 58

Momentum 49

Fundamental (0%) 56

Macro 64

Liquidity 80

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	50.0	40%
Trend & RS	57.6	20%
Momentum	48.6	20%
Fundamental	55.6	0%
Macro	64.4	15%
Liquidity	79.5	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	63.66
Stop Loss	61.52 (3.4%)
Target 1 (1:1)	65.80 (+3.4%)
Target 2 (2:1)	67.94 (+6.7%)

ATR(14)	1.07 (1.7%)
Risk per Share	2.14
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	64.4	+0.57
Momentum	48.6	-0.06
Quality	37.3	-0.51
Composite	50.1

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 5 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	28.7	18.0	+59% above
P/B Ratio	2.3	1.5	Above
Dividend Yield	4.3%	4.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Real Estate median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

27.52

Market Price

63.66

Upside

-56.8%

Margin of Safety	-131.3%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	2,833,592,384
Terminal Value PV	7,807,658,612
Total Enterprise Value	10,641,250,996

Assumptions

Base FCF	686,616,263
Growth Rate (5yr)	2.1%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

35.99%

Full Kelly

18.0%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 55/100. Estimated win rate 56%, avg win 8.3%, avg loss 3.9%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

35.69

RSI(14)

-1.0604

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAKENING

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	↓ FALLING (-6.9% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	INLINE (Real Estate)
RS New High	No (26d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-0.3% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

WEAKENING: Losing momentum — the stock was performing well but is now falling behind the market.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	35.69	NEUTRAL
Macd	-1.0604	BEARISH
Ma Cross	66.94 / 62.52	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	71.50
Bollinger Upper	69.44
SMA(200)	62.52
SMA(50)	66.94
SMA(20)	66.01
Current Price	63.66
Bollinger Lower	62.57
52-Week Low	57.57
ATR(14)	1.07

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION A Confidence

55%

Selling Climax Sign of Weakness

Acc: 3.0 | Dist: 1.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 1.5

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-17	Stopping Volume	5.09x	High volume down-bar closing near low — potential climax (Stopping Volume)
2026-08-18	Normal	0.0x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-08-19	Normal	0.0x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-08-20	Normal	0.0x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-08-21	Normal	0.0x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	64.95	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	67.00	Base line
Senkou A	65.98	Leading span A
Senkou B	67.23	Leading span B
Cloud	65.98 – 67.23	Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud	63.66	Below Cloud
Chikou Span	69.00	Bearish
Alignment Score	0/4	BEARISH