Eversource Energy

ES · Utilities · · USD

73.93 USD

+0.00 (0.18%)

● Updated 2026-07-10 15:39 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score BUY Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 100

Trend & RS 73

Momentum 63

Fundamental 56

Macro 78

Liquidity 40

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	100.0	20%
Trend & RS	73.0	30%
Momentum	63.4	15%
Fundamental	55.6	10%
Macro	78.4	20%
Liquidity	40.4	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	73.93
Stop Loss	70.97 (4.0%)
Target 1 (1:1)	76.89 (+4.0%)
Target 2 (2:1)	79.85 (+8.0%)

ATR(14)	1.48 (2.0%)
Risk per Share	2.96
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	81.7	+1.27
Momentum	63.4	+0.54
Quality	30.4	-0.78
Composite	58.5

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 5 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Fair Value

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	15.8	16.0	Inline
P/B Ratio	1.7	1.8	Inline
Dividend Yield	4.3%	3.5%	Above avg

Comparing against Utilities median multiples.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Fairly Valued

Intrinsic Value

79.06

Market Price

73.93

Upside

+6.9%

Margin of Safety	+6.5%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	7,118,105,481
Terminal Value PV	22,614,174,794
Total Enterprise Value	29,732,280,275

Assumptions

Base FCF	1,408,043,642
Growth Rate (5yr)	9.4%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.8%

Recommended Size

48.51%

Full Kelly

24.26%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 75/100. Estimated win rate 62%, avg win 9.5%, avg loss 3.5%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (20% confidence) — position size reduced 4%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

60.64

RSI(14)

1.359

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	→ FLAT (-4.5% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Utilities)
RS New High	No (62d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+8.7% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

NEUTRAL: In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	60.64	NEUTRAL
Macd	1.359	BULLISH
Ma Cross	69.66 / 68.81	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.7x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	76.41
Bollinger Upper	75.8
SMA(200)	68.81
SMA(50)	69.66
SMA(20)	71.54
Current Price	73.93
Bollinger Lower	67.28
52-Week Low	61.53
ATR(14)	1.48

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-07-02	Normal	0.81x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-06	Normal	0.82x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-07	Normal	0.74x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-08	Normal	0.6x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-09	Normal	0.7x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	73.77	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	71.25	Base line
Senkou A	72.51	Leading span A
Senkou B	70.59	Leading span B
Cloud	70.59 – 72.51	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	73.93	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	68.51	Bullish
Alignment Score	4/4	BULLISH