Eversource Energy
ES · Utilities · · USDFahodi Score SELL Long-term (Investment)
49
/ 100
Technical
50
Trend & RS
66
Momentum
59
Fundamental
44
Macro
24
Liquidity
67
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 50.0 | 10% |
| Trend & RS | 65.5 | 10% |
| Momentum | 59.0 | 5% |
| Fundamental | 44.4 | 40% |
| Macro | 23.6 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 67.4 | 20% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 71.92 |
| Stop Loss | 69.16 (3.8%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 74.68 (+3.8%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 77.44 (+7.7%) |
| ATR(14) | 1.38 (1.9%) |
| Risk per Share | 2.76 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 78.3 | +1.13 | |
| Momentum | 59.0 | +0.36 | |
| Quality | 29.1 | -0.84 | |
| Composite | 55.5 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
4
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
✗
✓
✓
✗
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 19.0 | 16.0 | +19% above |
| P/B Ratio | 1.7 | 1.8 | Inline |
| Dividend Yield | 4.5% | 3.5% | Above avg |
Comparing against Utilities median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
47.40
vs
Market Price
71.92
Upside
-34.1%
| Margin of Safety | -51.7% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 4,739,793,042 |
| Terminal Value PV | 13,114,504,884 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 17,854,297,926 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 1,142,077,857 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 2.3% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
31.99%
Full Kelly
15.99%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 49/100. Estimated win rate 55%, avg win 8.0%, avg loss 4.0%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary BUY
3
Bullish Signals
3
Bearish Signals
70.39
RSI(14)
1.0226
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL
63
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (+5.6% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Utilities) |
| RS New High | ✓ RS at 3-month high Institutional accumulation signal |
| Sector Outperformance | -3.5% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL:
In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 70.39 | OVERBOUGHT |
| Macd | 1.0226 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 67.12 / 68.91 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | UPPER BAND | |
| Volume | 1.45x | NORMAL |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 76.57 |
| Bollinger Upper | 71.07 |
| SMA(200) | 68.91 |
| SMA(50) | 67.12 |
| SMA(20) | 67.38 |
| Current Price | 71.92 |
| Bollinger Lower | 63.68 |
| 52-Week Low | 62.72 |
| ATR(14) | 1.38 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
ACCUMULATION E
Confidence
50%
Acc: 1.0 |
Dist: 1.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 2.04x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 0.74x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 0.81x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.48x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.45x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 69.87 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 68.11 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 68.99 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 67.88 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 67.88 – 68.99 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 71.92 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 64.31 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 4/4 | BULLISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH
BB: 63.68 – 71.07 | KC: 65.31 – 69.45
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Bearish | MACD | 11 | |
| Hidden Bearish | RSI | 15 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 68.07
Anchor: 2025-11-20 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+5.7%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BULLISH
Full data via /api/advanced/ES
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 27.09B |
| P/E (TTM) | 18.98 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 1.67 |
| EPS | 3.79 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 2.3% |
| Profit Margin | 10.4% |
| ROE | 9.0% |
| Debt/Equity | 180.70 |
| Current Ratio | 0.80 |
| Dividend Yield | 4.5% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.66 |
Trading Data
71.92
Open
71.92
Day High
71.92
Day Low
4.44M
Volume (1.8x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)