Eversource Energy

ES · Utilities · · USD

74.53 USD

+0.00 (0.81%)

● Updated 2026-07-10 17:40 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Long-term (Investment)

/ 100

Technical 100

Trend & RS 82

Momentum 65

Fundamental 38

Macro 65

Liquidity 34

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	100.0	10%
Trend & RS	82.2	10%
Momentum	65.4	5%
Fundamental	38.2	40%
Macro	65.2	15%
Liquidity	34.5	20%

Trade Setup

Entry	74.63
Stop Loss	71.75 (3.9%)
Target 1 (1:1)	77.51 (+3.9%)
Target 2 (2:1)	80.39 (+7.7%)

ATR(14)	1.44 (1.9%)
Risk per Share	2.88
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	76.0	+1.04
Momentum	65.4	+0.62
Quality	30.4	-0.78
Composite	57.3

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 5 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 1.04 — Distress Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Fair Value

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	16.0	16.0	Inline
P/B Ratio	1.7	1.8	Inline
Dividend Yield	4.3%	3.5%	Above avg

Comparing against Utilities median multiples.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Fairly Valued

Intrinsic Value

78.89

Market Price

74.53

Upside

+5.8%

Margin of Safety	+5.5%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	7,102,895,714
Terminal Value PV	22,565,853,462
Total Enterprise Value	29,668,749,176

Assumptions

Base FCF	1,405,034,973
Growth Rate (5yr)	9.4%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.8%

Recommended Size

34.94%

Full Kelly

17.47%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 53/100. Estimated win rate 56%, avg win 8.2%, avg loss 3.9%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (20% confidence) — position size reduced 4%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

62.9

RSI(14)

1.3949

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	↑ RISING (-3.8% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Utilities)
RS New High	No (62d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+9.4% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

NEUTRAL: In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	62.9	NEUTRAL
Macd	1.3949	BULLISH
Ma Cross	69.79 / 68.86	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.08x	LOW

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	76.41
Bollinger Upper	76.14
SMA(200)	68.86
SMA(50)	69.79
SMA(20)	71.81
Current Price	74.53
Bollinger Lower	67.49
52-Week Low	61.53
ATR(14)	1.44

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-07-06	Normal	0.88x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-07	Normal	0.79x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-08	Normal	0.64x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-09	Normal	0.75x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-10	No Supply	0.08x	Low volume, narrow spread, firm close — no selling pressure

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	73.77	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	71.48	Base line
Senkou A	72.62	Leading span A
Senkou B	70.59	Leading span B
Cloud	70.59 – 72.62	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	74.63	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	68.18	Bullish
Alignment Score	4/4	BULLISH