Eversource Energy

ES · Utilities · · USD

71.05 USD

0.00 (-0.59%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 19:36 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 75

Trend & RS 62

Momentum 52

Fundamental 32

Macro 64

Liquidity 43

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	75.0	20%
Trend & RS	62.1	30%
Momentum	51.7	15%
Fundamental	32.4	10%
Macro	64.4	20%
Liquidity	43.4	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	71.05
Stop Loss	68.55 (3.5%)
Target 1 (1:1)	73.55 (+3.5%)
Target 2 (2:1)	76.05 (+7.0%)

ATR(14)	1.25 (1.8%)
Risk per Share	2.50
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	75.2	+1.01
Momentum	51.7	+0.07
Quality	29.1	-0.84
Composite	52.0

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 4 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 1.02 — Distress Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	18.4	16.0	+15% above
P/B Ratio	1.6	1.8	Inline
Dividend Yield	4.4%	3.5%	Above avg

Comparing against Utilities median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

48.15

Market Price

71.05

Upside

-32.2%

Margin of Safety	-47.6%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	4,814,829,330
Terminal Value PV	13,322,122,341
Total Enterprise Value	18,136,951,671

Assumptions

Base FCF	1,160,158,242
Growth Rate (5yr)	2.3%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

39.24%

Full Kelly

19.62%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 60/100. Estimated win rate 58%, avg win 8.6%, avg loss 3.8%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

46.41

RSI(14)

-0.4766

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAKENING

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	↓ FALLING (-4.1% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Utilities)
RS New High	No (27d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+2.4% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

WEAKENING: Losing momentum — the stock was performing well but is now falling behind the market.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	46.41	NEUTRAL
Macd	-0.4766	BULLISH
Ma Cross	72.77 / 69.35	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.91x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	76.57
Bollinger Upper	72.69
SMA(200)	69.35
SMA(50)	72.77
SMA(20)	71.31
Current Price	71.05
Bollinger Lower	69.93
52-Week Low	62.45
ATR(14)	1.25

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION E Confidence

50%

Acc: 1.0 | Dist: 1.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	1.55x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	0.84x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	1.01x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	0.84x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	0.91x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	70.75	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	71.38	Base line
Senkou A	71.06	Leading span A
Senkou B	73.08	Leading span B
Cloud	71.06 – 73.08	Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud	71.05	Below Cloud
Chikou Span	71.59	Bearish
Alignment Score	0/4	BEARISH