Diamondback Energy, Inc.
FANG · Energy · · USDFahodi Score SELL Mid-term (Position)
44
/ 100
Technical
40
Trend & RS
55
Momentum
37
Fundamental
67
Macro
23
Liquidity
64
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 40.0 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 54.9 | 30% |
| Momentum | 36.7 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 66.7 | 10% |
| Macro | 23.3 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 64.3 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 179.58 |
| Stop Loss | 166.24 (7.4%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 192.92 (+7.4%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 206.26 (+14.9%) |
| ATR(14) | 6.67 (3.7%) |
| Risk per Share | 13.34 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 74.6 | +0.98 | |
| Momentum | 33.3 | -0.67 | |
| Quality | 24.8 | -1.01 | |
| Composite | 44.2 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
6
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✗
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Fair Value
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 24.2 | 10.0 | +142% above |
| P/B Ratio | 1.3 | 1.5 | Below |
| Dividend Yield | 2.6% | 4.0% | Below avg |
Comparing against Energy median multiples.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Undervalued
Intrinsic Value
231.58
vs
Market Price
179.58
Upside
+29.0%
| Margin of Safety | +22.5% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 12,752,462,330 |
| Terminal Value PV | 51,914,328,835 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 64,666,791,165 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 1,659,812,992 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 25.0% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
28.35%
Full Kelly
14.18%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 44/100. Estimated win rate 53%, avg win 7.7%, avg loss 4.1%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary SELL
2
Bullish Signals
3
Bearish Signals
34.08
RSI(14)
-0.9352
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) WEAKENING
74
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | ↓ FALLING (+1.0% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Energy) |
| RS New High | No (4d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -14.4% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
WEAKENING:
Losing momentum — the stock was performing well but is now falling behind the market.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 34.08 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | -0.9352 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 196.15 / 189.15 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | LOWER BAND | |
| Volume | 1.69x | HIGH |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 216.90 |
| Bollinger Upper | 215.29 |
| SMA(200) | 189.15 |
| SMA(50) | 196.15 |
| SMA(20) | 199.14 |
| Current Price | 179.58 |
| Bollinger Lower | 182.99 |
| 52-Week Low | 139.41 |
| ATR(14) | 6.67 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
DISTRIBUTION C
Confidence
100%
Upthrust (potential)
Acc: 0.0 |
Dist: 2.5 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 0.93x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.41x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 1.35x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.61x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.69x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 195.94 | Below Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 195.94 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 195.94 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 196.33 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 195.94 – 196.33 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 179.58 | Below Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 185.51 | Bearish |
| Alignment Score | 0/4 | BEARISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BEARISH
BB: 182.99 – 215.29 | KC: 189.46 – 208.81
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Bearish | RSI | 9 | |
| Regular Bullish | RSI | 27 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 181.99
Anchor: 2025-11-05 (52w Low)
BELOW AVWAP
-1.3%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/FANG
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 50.15B |
| P/E (TTM) | 24.17 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 1.29 |
| EPS | 7.43 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 32.0% |
| Profit Margin | 11.6% |
| ROE | 4.9% |
| Debt/Equity | 29.31 |
| Current Ratio | 0.55 |
| Dividend Yield | 2.6% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.47 |
Trading Data
179.58
Open
179.58
Day High
179.58
Day Low
3.61M
Volume (1.5x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)