Diamondback Energy, Inc.

FANG · Energy · · USD

201.10 USD

+0.00 (1.49%)

● Updated 2026-05-14 12:50 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score BUY Short-term (Swing)

/ 100

Technical 75

Trend & RS 86

Momentum 83

Fundamental (0%) 56

Macro 72

Liquidity 40

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	75.0	40%
Trend & RS	85.6	20%
Momentum	82.7	20%
Fundamental	55.6	0%
Macro	71.8	15%
Liquidity	40.0	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	201.10
Stop Loss	187.98 (6.5%)
Target 1 (1:1)	214.22 (+6.5%)
Target 2 (2:1)	227.34 (+13.1%)

ATR(14)	6.56 (3.3%)
Risk per Share	13.12
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	44.5	-0.22
Momentum	82.7	+1.31
Quality	15.5	-1.38
Composite	47.6

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 5 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	203.1	10.0	+1931% above
P/B Ratio	1.6	1.5	Inline
Dividend Yield	2.2%	4.0%	Below avg

Comparing against Energy median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

13.44

Market Price

201.10

Upside

-93.3%

Margin of Safety	-1396.5%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	975,190,818
Terminal Value PV	2,804,995,010
Total Enterprise Value	3,780,185,828

Assumptions

Base FCF	222,800,150
Growth Rate (5yr)	4.2%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

49.49%

Full Kelly

24.74%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 76/100. Estimated win rate 63%, avg win 9.6%, avg loss 3.5%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

55.8

RSI(14)

2.2705

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL

/ 99

RS Rating

✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)

RS vs SPY	→ FLAT (+12.1% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Energy)
RS New High	No (32d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+7.9% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

NEUTRAL: In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	55.8	NEUTRAL
Macd	2.2705	BEARISH
Ma Cross	191.71 / 159.11	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.51x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	214.51
Bollinger Upper	213.6
SMA(200)	159.11
SMA(50)	191.71
SMA(20)	196.45
Current Price	201.10
Bollinger Lower	179.3
52-Week Low	132.20
ATR(14)	6.56

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKUP Confidence

100%

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 0.0 | Markup: 2.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-05-07	Normal	0.96x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-08	Normal	1.16x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-11	Normal	0.84x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-12	Normal	0.65x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-13	Normal	0.51x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	200.53	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	192.53	Base line
Senkou A	196.53	Leading span A
Senkou B	192.53	Leading span B
Cloud	192.53 – 196.53	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	201.10	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	186.47	Bullish
Alignment Score	4/4	BULLISH