Diamondback Energy, Inc.

FANG · Energy · · USD

199.22 USD

0.00 (-1.83%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 20:36 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score BUY Short-term (Swing)

/ 100

Technical 75

Trend & RS 93

Momentum 58

Fundamental (0%) 67

Macro 64

Liquidity 49

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	75.0	40%
Trend & RS	92.7	20%
Momentum	58.0	20%
Fundamental	66.7	0%
Macro	64.4	15%
Liquidity	48.9	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	199.22
Stop Loss	188.12 (5.6%)
Target 1 (1:1)	210.32 (+5.6%)
Target 2 (2:1)	221.42 (+11.1%)

ATR(14)	5.55 (2.8%)
Risk per Share	11.10
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	58.3	+0.33
Momentum	58.0	+0.32
Quality	21.7	-1.13
Composite	46.0

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	37.9	10.0	+279% above
P/B Ratio	1.5	1.5	Inline
Dividend Yield	2.2%	4.0%	Below avg

Comparing against Energy median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

163.94

Market Price

199.22

Upside

-17.7%

Margin of Safety	-21.5%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	9,053,142,141
Terminal Value PV	36,854,670,568
Total Enterprise Value	45,907,812,709

Assumptions

Base FCF	1,178,323,257
Growth Rate (5yr)	25.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

47.05%

Full Kelly

23.53%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 72/100. Estimated win rate 62%, avg win 9.3%, avg loss 3.6%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

48.64

RSI(14)

1.4697

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING

/ 99

RS Rating

✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)

RS vs SPY	↑ RISING (-0.7% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	UNDERPERFORMING (Energy)
RS New High	No (31d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-15.7% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

IMPROVING: Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	48.64	NEUTRAL
Macd	1.4697	BEARISH
Ma Cross	194.47 / 179.07	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.97x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	216.90
Bollinger Upper	211.58
SMA(200)	179.07
SMA(50)	194.47
SMA(20)	202.98
Current Price	199.22
Bollinger Lower	194.37
52-Week Low	134.30
ATR(14)	5.55

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION E Confidence

50%

Acc: 1.0 | Dist: 1.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	2.05x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	1.46x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	0.9x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	0.98x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	0.97x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	200.82	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	200.34	Base line
Senkou A	200.58	Leading span A
Senkou B	193.03	Leading span B
Cloud	193.03 – 200.58	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	199.22	Inside Cloud
Chikou Span	201.84	Bearish
Alignment Score	2/4	NEUTRAL