Diamondback Energy, Inc.
FANG · Energy · · USDFahodi Score HOLD Long-term (Investment)
54
/ 100
Technical
40
Trend & RS
53
Momentum
31
Fundamental
64
Macro
54
Liquidity
46
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 40.0 | 10% |
| Trend & RS | 52.9 | 10% |
| Momentum | 30.8 | 5% |
| Fundamental | 64.0 | 40% |
| Macro | 54.5 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 45.6 | 20% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 178.96 |
| Stop Loss | 165.86 (7.3%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 192.06 (+7.3%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 205.16 (+14.6%) |
| ATR(14) | 6.55 (3.7%) |
| Risk per Share | 13.10 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 79.1 | +1.16 | |
| Momentum | 30.8 | -0.77 | |
| Quality | 24.8 | -1.01 | |
| Composite | 44.9 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
6
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✗
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
3.07
—
Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Fair Value
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 24.1 | 10.0 | +141% above |
| P/B Ratio | 1.3 | 1.5 | Below |
| Dividend Yield | 2.6% | 4.0% | Below avg |
Comparing against Energy median multiples.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Undervalued
Intrinsic Value
231.58
vs
Market Price
178.96
Upside
+29.4%
| Margin of Safety | +22.7% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 12,749,086,812 |
| Terminal Value PV | 51,900,587,352 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 64,649,674,164 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 1,659,373,647 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 25.0% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
35.15%
Full Kelly
17.58%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 54/100. Estimated win rate 56%, avg win 8.2%, avg loss 3.9%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary SELL
2
Bullish Signals
3
Bearish Signals
33.69
RSI(14)
-2.1989
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) WEAKENING
69
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | ↓ FALLING (-4.9% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Energy) |
| RS New High | No (5d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -14.0% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
WEAKENING:
Losing momentum — the stock was performing well but is now falling behind the market.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 33.69 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | -2.1989 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 195.72 / 189.3 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | LOWER BAND | |
| Volume | 0.76x | NORMAL |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 216.90 |
| Bollinger Upper | 216.76 |
| SMA(200) | 189.3 |
| SMA(50) | 195.72 |
| SMA(20) | 198.48 |
| Current Price | 178.96 |
| Bollinger Lower | 180.19 |
| 52-Week Low | 139.41 |
| ATR(14) | 6.55 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
MARKDOWN
Confidence
100%
Acc: 0.0 |
Dist: 0.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 2.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.4x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 1.34x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.59x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.67x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-06 | Normal | 0.76x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 195.07 | Below Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 195.07 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 195.07 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 195.46 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 195.07 – 195.46 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 178.96 | Below Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 184.71 | Bearish |
| Alignment Score | 0/4 | BEARISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BEARISH FADING
BB: 180.19 – 216.76 | KC: 188.65 – 208.31
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Bearish | RSI | 10 | |
| Regular Bullish | RSI | 28 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 182.12
Anchor: 2025-11-06 (52w Low)
BELOW AVWAP
-1.7%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/FANG
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 49.96B |
| P/E (TTM) | 24.09 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 1.28 |
| EPS | 7.43 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 32.0% |
| Profit Margin | 11.6% |
| ROE | 4.9% |
| Debt/Equity | 29.31 |
| Current Ratio | 0.55 |
| Dividend Yield | 2.6% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.47 |
Trading Data
178.96
Open
178.96
Day High
178.96
Day Low
1.64M
Volume (0.7x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)