FedEx Corporation

FDX · Industrials · · USD

322.52 USD

0.00 (-0.55%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 22:05 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Long-term (Investment)

/ 100

Technical 75

Trend & RS 82

Momentum 56

Fundamental 59

Macro 64

Liquidity 57

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	75.0	10%
Trend & RS	82.2	10%
Momentum	56.1	5%
Fundamental	58.8	40%
Macro	64.4	15%
Liquidity	56.9	20%

Trade Setup

Entry	322.52
Stop Loss	306.90 (4.8%)
Target 1 (1:1)	338.14 (+4.8%)
Target 2 (2:1)	353.76 (+9.7%)

ATR(14)	7.81 (2.4%)
Risk per Share	15.62
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	75.7	+1.03
Momentum	56.1	+0.24
Quality	35.6	-0.57
Composite	55.8

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 5 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 3.10 — Safe Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	17.4	18.0	Inline
P/B Ratio	2.5	3.0	Below
Dividend Yield	1.5%	2.0%	Below avg

Comparing against Industrials median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Fairly Valued

Intrinsic Value

355.55

Market Price

322.52

Upside

+10.2%

Margin of Safety	+9.3%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	19,316,370,440
Terminal Value PV	64,831,244,306
Total Enterprise Value	84,147,614,746

Assumptions

Base FCF	3,510,295,892
Growth Rate (5yr)	12.5%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

41.46%

Full Kelly

20.73%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 63/100. Estimated win rate 59%, avg win 8.8%, avg loss 3.7%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

48.0

RSI(14)

1.1511

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAKENING

/ 99

RS Rating

✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)

RS vs SPY	↓ FALLING (-6.9% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	INLINE (Industrials)
RS New High	No (59d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-2.4% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

WEAKENING: Losing momentum — the stock was performing well but is now falling behind the market.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	48.0	NEUTRAL
Macd	1.1511	BEARISH
Ma Cross	319.44 / 290.4	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	1.26x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	345.37
Bollinger Upper	339.44
SMA(200)	290.4
SMA(50)	319.44
SMA(20)	328.47
Current Price	322.52
Bollinger Lower	317.49
52-Week Low	178.94
ATR(14)	7.81

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION E Confidence

50%

Acc: 1.0 | Dist: 1.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	1.21x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	1.16x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	0.82x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	1.61x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	1.26x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	328.08	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	324.30	Base line
Senkou A	326.19	Leading span A
Senkou B	322.35	Leading span B
Cloud	322.35 – 326.19	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	322.52	Inside Cloud
Chikou Span	307.40	Bullish
Alignment Score	3/4	NEUTRAL