FedEx Corporation
FDX · Industrials · · USDFahodi Score HOLD Short-term (Swing)
62
/ 100
Technical
75
Trend & RS
66
Momentum
60
Fundamental (0%)
67
Macro
22
Liquidity
67
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 75.0 | 40% |
| Trend & RS | 65.9 | 20% |
| Momentum | 60.2 | 20% |
| Fundamental | 66.7 | 0% |
| Macro | 22.5 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 67.0 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 316.80 |
| Stop Loss | 300.40 (5.2%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 333.20 (+5.2%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 349.60 (+10.3%) |
| ATR(14) | 8.20 (2.6%) |
| Risk per Share | 16.40 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 77.9 | +1.12 | |
| Momentum | 54.7 | +0.19 | |
| Quality | 35.6 | -0.57 | |
| Composite | 56.1 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
6
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✗
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Undervalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 17.1 | 18.0 | Inline |
| P/B Ratio | 2.1 | 3.0 | Below |
| Dividend Yield | 1.5% | 2.0% | Below avg |
Comparing against Industrials median multiples.
Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Fairly Valued
Intrinsic Value
347.18
vs
Market Price
316.80
Upside
+9.6%
| Margin of Safety | +8.8% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 18,814,806,000 |
| Terminal Value PV | 62,495,398,059 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 81,310,204,059 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 3,475,518,358 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 11.9% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
40.68%
Full Kelly
20.34%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 62/100. Estimated win rate 59%, avg win 8.7%, avg loss 3.8%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG BUY
3
Bullish Signals
1
Bearish Signals
59.98
RSI(14)
5.8138
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL
64
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (+4.8% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | INLINE (Industrials) |
| RS New High | Near 3-month high 50d since high |
| Sector Outperformance | +1.8% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL:
In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 59.98 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 5.8138 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 303.09 / 304.48 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 1.64x | HIGH |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 345.37 |
| Bollinger Upper | 325.32 |
| SMA(200) | 304.48 |
| SMA(50) | 303.09 |
| SMA(20) | 303.21 |
| Current Price | 316.80 |
| Bollinger Lower | 281.09 |
| 52-Week Low | 204.42 |
| ATR(14) | 8.2 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 1.83x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.33x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 1.39x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.67x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.64x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 315.22 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 308.00 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 311.61 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 309.36 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 309.36 – 311.61 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 316.80 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 287.07 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 4/4 | BULLISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH FADING
BB: 281.09 – 325.32 | KC: 291.51 – 314.91
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hidden Bearish | RSI | 25 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 285.76
Anchor: 2025-11-05 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+10.9%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BULLISH
Full data via /api/advanced/FDX
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 74.19B |
| P/E (TTM) | 17.08 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 2.14 |
| EPS | 18.55 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 11.9% |
| Profit Margin | 4.7% |
| ROE | 14.8% |
| Debt/Equity | 98.73 |
| Current Ratio | 1.48 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.5% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 1.31 |
Trading Data
316.80
Open
316.80
Day High
316.80
Day Low
2.37M
Volume (1.5x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)