FedEx Corporation
FDX · Industrials · · USDFahodi Score HOLD Short-term (Swing)
61
/ 100
Technical
75
Trend & RS
66
Momentum
52
Fundamental (0%)
67
Macro
24
Liquidity
67
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 75.0 | 40% |
| Trend & RS | 65.9 | 20% |
| Momentum | 52.4 | 20% |
| Fundamental | 66.7 | 0% |
| Macro | 23.8 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 67.0 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 313.16 |
| Stop Loss | 296.98 (5.2%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 329.34 (+5.2%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 345.52 (+10.3%) |
| ATR(14) | 8.09 (2.6%) |
| Risk per Share | 16.18 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 77.9 | +1.12 | |
| Momentum | 52.4 | +0.10 | |
| Quality | 35.6 | -0.57 | |
| Composite | 55.3 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
6
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✗
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
3.34
—
Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Undervalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 17.1 | 18.0 | Inline |
| P/B Ratio | 2.1 | 3.0 | Below |
| Dividend Yield | 1.5% | 2.0% | Below avg |
Comparing against Industrials median multiples.
Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Fairly Valued
Intrinsic Value
347.18
vs
Market Price
316.80
Upside
+9.6%
| Margin of Safety | +8.8% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 18,814,806,217 |
| Terminal Value PV | 62,495,398,776 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 81,310,204,993 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 3,475,518,399 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 11.9% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
39.84%
Full Kelly
19.92%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 61/100. Estimated win rate 58%, avg win 8.6%, avg loss 3.8%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG BUY
3
Bullish Signals
1
Bearish Signals
56.36
RSI(14)
5.5212
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL
64
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (+1.7% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | INLINE (Industrials) |
| RS New High | No (60d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -0.9% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL:
In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 56.36 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 5.5212 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 302.75 / 304.81 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.02x | LOW |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 345.37 |
| Bollinger Upper | 326.13 |
| SMA(200) | 304.81 |
| SMA(50) | 302.75 |
| SMA(20) | 304.28 |
| Current Price | 316.80 |
| Bollinger Lower | 282.43 |
| 52-Week Low | 204.42 |
| ATR(14) | 8.09 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
DISTRIBUTION C
Confidence
100%
Upthrust (potential)
Acc: 0.0 |
Dist: 2.5 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.39x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 1.45x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.74x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.71x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-06 | No Supply | 0.02x | Low volume, narrow spread, firm close — no selling pressure |
Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 315.22 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 308.52 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 311.87 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 309.36 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 309.36 – 311.87 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 313.16 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 290.36 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 4/4 | BULLISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH FADING
BB: 282.43 – 326.13 | KC: 292.27 – 316.28
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hidden Bearish | RSI | 26 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 286.89
Anchor: 2025-11-10 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+9.2%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/FDX
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 74.19B |
| P/E (TTM) | 17.08 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 2.14 |
| EPS | 18.55 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 11.9% |
| Profit Margin | 4.7% |
| ROE | 14.8% |
| Debt/Equity | 98.73 |
| Current Ratio | 1.48 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.5% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 1.31 |
Trading Data
316.80
Open
316.80
Day High
316.80
Day Low
2.37M
Volume (1.5x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)