Garmin Ltd.

GRMN · Technology · · USD

277.03 USD

0.00 (-0.05%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 21:03 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score BUY Short-term (Swing)

/ 100

Technical 75

Trend & RS 97

Momentum 67

Fundamental (0%) 89

Macro 64

Liquidity 44

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	75.0	40%
Trend & RS	97.2	20%
Momentum	67.1	20%
Fundamental	88.9	0%
Macro	64.4	15%
Liquidity	44.3	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	277.03
Stop Loss	263.01 (5.1%)
Target 1 (1:1)	291.05 (+5.1%)
Target 2 (2:1)	305.07 (+10.1%)

ATR(14)	7.01 (2.5%)
Risk per Share	14.02
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	39.7	-0.41
Momentum	67.1	+0.69
Quality	68.3	+0.73
Composite	58.4

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 7 /9 — Strong

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 143.97 — Safe Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Fair Value

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	28.6	28.0	Inline
P/B Ratio	5.9	6.0	Inline
Dividend Yield	1.5%	0.8%	Above avg

Comparing against Technology median multiples.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

177.89

Market Price

277.03

Upside

-35.8%

Margin of Safety	-55.7%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	7,991,699,444
Terminal Value PV	26,314,253,166
Total Enterprise Value	34,305,952,610

Assumptions

Base FCF	1,496,535,679
Growth Rate (5yr)	11.4%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

48.51%

Full Kelly

24.26%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 75/100. Estimated win rate 62%, avg win 9.5%, avg loss 3.5%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

41.4

RSI(14)

-0.4896

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING

/ 99

RS Rating

✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)

RS vs SPY	↑ RISING (+12.9% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Technology)
RS New High	No (19d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+23.8% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

IMPROVING: Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	41.4	NEUTRAL
Macd	-0.4896	BEARISH
Ma Cross	272.51 / 237.27	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.89x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	314.28
Bollinger Upper	319.6
SMA(200)	237.27
SMA(50)	272.51
SMA(20)	293.84
Current Price	277.03
Bollinger Lower	268.08
52-Week Low	186.67
ATR(14)	7.01

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKUP Confidence

100%

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 0.0 | Markup: 2.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	1.61x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	0.95x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	1.18x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	0.85x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	0.89x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	281.50	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	291.14	Base line
Senkou A	286.32	Leading span A
Senkou B	271.39	Leading span B
Cloud	271.39 – 286.32	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	277.03	Inside Cloud
Chikou Span	293.78	Bearish
Alignment Score	1/4	NEUTRAL