Garmin Ltd.
GRMN · Technology · · USDFahodi Score BUY Mid-term (Position)
68
/ 100
Technical
75
Trend & RS
86
Momentum
73
Fundamental
78
Macro
22
Liquidity
69
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 75.0 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 86.4 | 30% |
| Momentum | 73.1 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 77.8 | 10% |
| Macro | 22.5 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 69.1 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 286.40 |
| Stop Loss | 266.42 (7.0%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 306.38 (+7.0%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 326.36 (+13.9%) |
| ATR(14) | 9.99 (3.5%) |
| Risk per Share | 19.98 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 47.2 | -0.11 | |
| Momentum | 66.4 | +0.66 | |
| Quality | 69.6 | +0.78 | |
| Composite | 61.1 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
7
/9 —
Strong
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Fair Value
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 27.5 | 28.0 | Inline |
| P/B Ratio | 5.8 | 6.0 | Inline |
| Dividend Yield | 1.5% | 0.8% | Above avg |
Comparing against Technology median multiples.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
197.22
vs
Market Price
286.40
Upside
-31.1%
| Margin of Safety | -45.2% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 8,758,796,596 |
| Terminal Value PV | 29,245,167,981 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 38,003,964,577 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 1,604,766,377 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 12.2% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
44.28%
Full Kelly
22.14%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 68/100. Estimated win rate 60%, avg win 9.1%, avg loss 3.6%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG BUY
3
Bullish Signals
1
Bearish Signals
53.05
RSI(14)
-0.2857
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL
90
/ 99
RS Rating
✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (-2.5% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Technology) |
| RS New High | No (62d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -13.2% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL:
In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 53.05 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | -0.2857 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 281.5 / 253.85 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 1.52x | HIGH |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 314.28 |
| Bollinger Upper | 300.42 |
| SMA(200) | 253.85 |
| SMA(50) | 281.5 |
| SMA(20) | 282.33 |
| Current Price | 286.40 |
| Bollinger Lower | 264.25 |
| 52-Week Low | 186.67 |
| ATR(14) | 9.99 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
ACCUMULATION A
Confidence
100%
Selling Climax
Acc: 2.0 |
Dist: 0.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 0.98x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.17x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 0.8x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.35x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.52x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 281.21 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 280.13 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 280.67 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 280.13 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 280.13 – 280.67 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 286.40 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 282.46 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 4/4 | BULLISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH FADING
BB: 264.25 – 300.42 | KC: 267.68 – 296.99
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Bullish | RSI | 19 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 243.85
Anchor: 2025-11-20 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+17.4%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BULLISH
Full data via /api/advanced/GRMN
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 55.19B |
| P/E (TTM) | 27.51 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 5.78 |
| EPS | 10.41 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 12.2% |
| Profit Margin | 25.6% |
| ROE | 22.4% |
| Debt/Equity | 2.35 |
| Current Ratio | 3.05 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.5% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.90 |
Trading Data
286.40
Open
286.40
Day High
286.40
Day Low
1.47M
Volume (1.7x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)