The Home Depot, Inc.
HD · Consumer Cyclical · · USDFahodi Score HOLD Mid-term (Position)
59
/ 100
Technical
75
Trend & RS
55
Momentum
73
Fundamental
78
Macro
22
Liquidity
75
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 75.0 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 55.4 | 30% |
| Momentum | 72.6 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 77.8 | 10% |
| Macro | 22.5 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 75.4 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 349.94 |
| Stop Loss | 331.54 (5.3%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 368.34 (+5.3%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 386.74 (+10.5%) |
| ATR(14) | 9.20 (2.6%) |
| Risk per Share | 18.40 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 34.8 | -0.61 | |
| Momentum | 72.6 | +0.91 | |
| Quality | 51.1 | +0.04 | |
| Composite | 52.8 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
5
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
6.86
—
Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 24.5 | 18.0 | +36% above |
| P/B Ratio | 21.0 | 2.5 | Above |
| Dividend Yield | 2.7% | 2.0% | Above avg |
Comparing against Consumer Cyclical median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
206.76
vs
Market Price
349.94
Upside
-40.9%
| Margin of Safety | -69.2% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 52,052,731,699 |
| Terminal Value PV | 154,230,628,296 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 206,283,359,995 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 11,405,587,804 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 5.7% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
38.51%
Full Kelly
19.26%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 59/100. Estimated win rate 58%, avg win 8.5%, avg loss 3.8%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG BUY
3
Bullish Signals
1
Bearish Signals
69.56
RSI(14)
11.3109
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS
38
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (+4.1% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Consumer Cyclical) |
| RS New High | ✓ RS at 3-month high Institutional accumulation signal |
| Sector Outperformance | -2.3% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS:
Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 69.56 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 11.3109 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 308.85 / 330.08 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 1.57x | HIGH |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 397.63 |
| Bollinger Upper | 355.1 |
| SMA(200) | 330.08 |
| SMA(50) | 308.85 |
| SMA(20) | 318.46 |
| Current Price | 349.94 |
| Bollinger Lower | 281.81 |
| 52-Week Low | 277.15 |
| ATR(14) | 9.2 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
ACCUMULATION E
Confidence
50%
Acc: 1.0 |
Dist: 1.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 0.83x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.0x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 0.8x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.7x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.57x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 339.29 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 319.79 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 329.54 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 319.79 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 319.79 – 329.54 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 349.94 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 282.46 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 4/4 | BULLISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH FADING
BB: 281.81 – 355.1 | KC: 305.25 – 331.67
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hidden Bearish | RSI | 21 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 310.22
Anchor: 2026-10-01 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+12.8%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BULLISH
Full data via /api/advanced/HD
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 349.13B |
| P/E (TTM) | 24.49 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 21.02 |
| EPS | 14.29 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 5.7% |
| Profit Margin | 8.4% |
| ROE | 1.0% |
| Debt/Equity | 380.26 |
| Current Ratio | 1.08 |
| Dividend Yield | 2.7% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.95 |
Trading Data
349.94
Open
349.94
Day High
349.94
Day Low
7.47M
Volume (1.6x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)