Hologic, Inc.
HOLX · Healthcare · · USDFahodi Score BUY Mid-term (Position)
70
/ 100
Technical
100
Trend & RS
80
Momentum
61
Fundamental
83
Macro
22
Liquidity
82
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 100.0 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 80.3 | 30% |
| Momentum | 61.4 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 83.3 | 10% |
| Macro | 22.5 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 82.3 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 76.01 |
| Stop Loss | 75.59 (0.6%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 76.43 (+0.6%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 76.85 (+1.1%) |
| ATR(14) | 0.21 (0.3%) |
| Risk per Share | 0.42 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 58.0 | +0.32 | |
| Momentum | 61.4 | +0.45 | |
| Quality | 62.7 | +0.51 | |
| Composite | 60.7 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
6
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
✓
✗
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
5.81
—
Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Fair Value
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 31.5 | 22.0 | +43% above |
| P/B Ratio | 3.2 | 4.0 | Below |
Comparing against Healthcare median multiples.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
30.40
vs
Market Price
76.01
Upside
-60.0%
| Margin of Safety | -150.0% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 1,796,350,847 |
| Terminal Value PV | 4,990,981,168 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 6,787,332,015 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 430,416,177 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 2.5% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
45.86%
Full Kelly
22.93%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 70/100. Estimated win rate 61%, avg win 9.2%, avg loss 3.6%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG BUY
4
Bullish Signals
0
Bearish Signals
68.72
RSI(14)
0.152
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL
75
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (+6.7% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Healthcare) |
| RS New High | ✓ RS at 3-month high Institutional accumulation signal |
| Sector Outperformance | -11.3% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL:
In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 68.72 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 0.152 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 75.31 / 71.34 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 76.07 |
| Bollinger Upper | 76.03 |
| SMA(200) | 71.34 |
| SMA(50) | 75.31 |
| SMA(20) | 75.49 |
| Current Price | 76.01 |
| Bollinger Lower | 74.95 |
| 52-Week Low | 51.90 |
| ATR(14) | 0.21 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
ACCUMULATION E
Confidence
50%
Acc: 1.0 |
Dist: 1.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-31 | Normal | 0.32x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-04-01 | Normal | 0.28x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-04-02 | No Supply | 0.38x | Low volume, narrow spread, firm close — no selling pressure |
| 2026-04-06 | Normal | 12.52x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-04-07 | Normal | 0.0x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 75.78 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 75.53 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 75.66 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 75.28 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 75.28 – 75.66 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 76.01 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 75.45 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 4/4 | BULLISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH FADING
BB: 74.95 – 76.03 | KC: 75.17 – 75.82
Divergences (last 60 bars)
No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 70.71
Anchor: 2025-05-06 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+7.5%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BULLISH
Full data via /api/advanced/HOLX
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 16.97B |
| P/E (TTM) | 31.54 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 3.23 |
| EPS | 2.41 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 2.5% |
| Profit Margin | 13.2% |
| ROE | 10.9% |
| Debt/Equity | 48.05 |
| Current Ratio | 4.04 |
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.70 |
Trading Data
76.01
Open
76.01
Day High
76.01
Day Low
101.96M
Volume (22.6x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)