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Hologic, Inc.

HOLX · Healthcare · · USD
76.01 USD
+0.00 (0.00%)
● Updated 2026-04-15 14:56 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score BUY Mid-term (Position)

77
/ 100
Technical 100
Trend & RS 74
Momentum 61
Fundamental 83
Macro 65
Liquidity 82
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 100.0 20%
Trend & RS 74.1 30%
Momentum 61.4 15%
Fundamental 83.3 10%
Macro 65.2 20%
Liquidity 82.3 5%

Trade Setup

Entry 76.01
Stop Loss 75.59 (0.6%)
Target 1 (1:1) 76.43 (+0.6%)
Target 2 (2:1) 76.85 (+1.1%)
ATR(14) 0.21 (0.3%)
Risk per Share 0.42
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 58.0 +0.32
Momentum 61.4 +0.45
Quality 62.7 +0.51
Composite 60.7

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average
✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score 5.81 — Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Fair Value

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 31.5 22.0 +43% above
P/B Ratio 3.2 4.0 Below

Comparing against Healthcare median multiples.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value
30.40
vs
Market Price
76.01
Upside
-60.0%
Margin of Safety -150.0%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)1,796,350,847
Terminal Value PV4,990,981,168
Total Enterprise Value6,787,332,015

Assumptions

Base FCF430,416,177
Growth Rate (5yr)2.5%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.8%
Recommended Size
49.77%
Full Kelly
24.89%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 77/100. Estimated win rate 63%, avg win 9.6%, avg loss 3.5%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (20% confidence) — position size reduced 4%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

4
Bullish Signals
0
Bearish Signals
68.72
RSI(14)
0.152
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAKENING

72
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
RS vs SPY ↓ FALLING (-9.2% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector UNDERPERFORMING (Healthcare)
RS New High No (62d since high)
Sector Outperformance -3.8% (3M)
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS
WEAKENING: Losing momentum — the stock was performing well but is now falling behind the market.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 68.72 NEUTRAL
Macd 0.152 BULLISH
Ma Cross 75.31 / 71.34 GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger MIDDLE

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High76.07
Bollinger Upper76.03
SMA(200)71.34
SMA(50)75.31
SMA(20)75.49
Current Price76.01
Bollinger Lower74.95
52-Week Low51.90
ATR(14)0.21

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION E Confidence
50%
Acc: 1.0  |  Dist: 1.0  |  Markup: 0.0  |  Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-03-31 Normal 0.32x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-04-01 Normal 0.28x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-04-02 No Supply 0.38x Low volume, narrow spread, firm close — no selling pressure
2026-04-06 Normal 12.52x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-04-07 Normal 0.0x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 75.78 Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 75.53 Base line
Senkou A 75.66 Leading span A
Senkou B 75.28 Leading span B
Cloud 75.28 – 75.66 Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud 76.01 Above Cloud
Chikou Span 75.45 Bullish
Alignment Score 4/4 BULLISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BULLISH FADING
BB: 74.95 – 76.03  |  KC: 75.17 – 75.82

Divergences (last 60 bars)

No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 70.71 Anchor: 2025-05-06 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +7.5%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

BULLISH Full data via /api/advanced/HOLX

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap16.97B
P/E (TTM)31.54
Forward P/EN/A
P/B3.23
EPS2.41

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth2.5%
Profit Margin13.2%
ROE10.9%
Debt/Equity48.05
Current Ratio4.04
Dividend YieldN/A
Payout RatioN/A
Beta0.70

Trading Data

76.01
Open
76.01
Day High
76.01
Day Low
101.96M
Volume (22.6x avg)

Recent News (8)

TD Cowen Cuts TPG PT Amid Q1 Preview for Asset Managers
Insider Monkey · 2026-04-15
Software sting: Tech share of direct lending deals drops in Q1 – US Private Credit Monitor
Pitchbook · 2026-04-14
Hologic hires former Baxter leader José Almeida as CEO
MedTech Dive · 2026-04-08
Casey's General Stores Stock Has Been On a Tear. Now It's Joining The S&P 500
Investopedia · 2026-04-07
Top Midday Stories: Stocks Fall as US-Iran Ceasefire Hopes Fade; Health Insurance Stocks Rise After Big Medicare Advantage Payment Rate Bump
MT Newswires · 2026-04-07
A Look Back at Medical Devices & Supplies - Imaging, Diagnostics Stocks’ Q4 Earnings: Hologic (NASDAQ:HOLX) Vs The Rest Of The Pack
StockStory · 2026-04-07
Casey's General Stores To Join S&P 500; DigitalOcean, Broadstone Net Lease Move Up In Index Reshuffle
MT Newswires · 2026-04-07
Nanox Starts 2 Collaborations to Deploy Nanox.ARC in U.S.
Exec Edge · 2026-04-06

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —