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HubSpot, Inc.

HUBS · Technology · · USD
247.60 USD
0.00 (-2.95%)
● Updated 2026-09-07 21:07 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Long-term (Investment)

63
/ 100
Technical 50
Trend & RS 46
Momentum 69
Fundamental 83
Macro 64
Liquidity 33
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 50.0 10%
Trend & RS 45.7 10%
Momentum 69.1 5%
Fundamental 83.3 40%
Macro 64.4 15%
Liquidity 33.4 20%

Trade Setup

Entry 247.60
Stop Loss 218.16 (11.9%)
Target 1 (1:1) 277.04 (+11.9%)
Target 2 (2:1) 306.48 (+23.8%)
ATR(14) 14.72 (6.0%)
Risk per Share 29.44
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 9.0 -1.64
Momentum 69.1 +0.76
Quality 29.8 -0.81
Composite 36.0

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average
✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score 33.14 — Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 88.4 28.0 +216% above
P/B Ratio 7.4 6.0 Above

Comparing against Technology median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value
71.65
vs
Market Price
247.60
Upside
-71.1%
Margin of Safety -245.5%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)768,013,796
Terminal Value PV2,900,021,809
Total Enterprise Value3,668,035,605

Assumptions

Base FCF114,667,186
Growth Rate (5yr)19.8%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%
Recommended Size
41.2%
Full Kelly
20.6%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 63/100. Estimated win rate 59%, avg win 8.8%, avg loss 3.7%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary BUY

2
Bullish Signals
2
Bearish Signals
54.3
RSI(14)
8.4351
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

14
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
RS vs SPY ↑ RISING (+11.8% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector OUTPERFORMING (Technology)
RS New High No (27d since high)
Sector Outperformance +22.6% (3M)
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 54.3 NEUTRAL
Macd 8.4351 BULLISH
Ma Cross 223.77 / 260.59 DEATH CROSS
Trend Short ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long BELOW SMA200
Bollinger MIDDLE
Volume 0.5x NORMAL

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High525.51
Bollinger Upper269.21
SMA(200)260.59
SMA(50)223.77
SMA(20)238.51
Current Price247.60
Bollinger Lower207.82
52-Week Low169.63
ATR(14)14.72

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

DISTRIBUTION A Confidence
50%
Buying Climax
Acc: 0.0  |  Dist: 2.0  |  Markup: 2.0  |  Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-08-31 Normal 0.84x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01 Normal 0.55x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02 Normal 0.91x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03 Normal 0.66x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04 Normal 0.5x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 248.18 Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 225.03 Base line
Senkou A 236.60 Leading span A
Senkou B 217.31 Leading span B
Cloud 217.31 – 236.60 Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud 247.60 Above Cloud
Chikou Span 237.36 Bullish
Alignment Score 4/4 BULLISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BULLISH FADING
BB: 207.82 – 269.21  |  KC: 217.94 – 259.08

Divergences (last 60 bars)

TypeIndicatorBars AgoStrength
Regular Bearish RSI 28

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 219.24 Anchor: 2026-06-25 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +12.9%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

WEAKLY BEARISH Full data via /api/advanced/HUBS

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap12.67B
P/E (TTM)88.43
Forward P/EN/A
P/B7.42
EPS2.80

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth19.8%
Profit Margin4.3%
ROE7.9%
Debt/Equity14.30
Current Ratio1.38
Dividend YieldN/A
Payout RatioN/A
Beta1.18

Trading Data

247.60
Open
247.60
Day High
247.60
Day Low
697.5K
Volume (0.4x avg)

Recent News (8)

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Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —