Invitation Homes Inc.
INVH · Real Estate · · USDFahodi Score HOLD Mid-term (Position)
54
/ 100
Technical
75
Trend & RS
66
Momentum
50
Fundamental
41
Macro
24
Liquidity
66
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 75.0 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 65.5 | 30% |
| Momentum | 49.7 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 41.4 | 10% |
| Macro | 23.6 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 66.4 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 27.56 |
| Stop Loss | 26.42 (4.1%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 28.70 (+4.1%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 29.84 (+8.3%) |
| ATR(14) | 0.57 (2.1%) |
| Risk per Share | 1.14 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 63.9 | +0.55 | |
| Momentum | 45.1 | -0.19 | |
| Quality | 35.2 | -0.59 | |
| Composite | 48.1 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
5
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✗
✓
✓
✗
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
1.36
—
Distress Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 24.2 | 18.0 | +34% above |
| P/B Ratio | 1.8 | 1.5 | Above |
| Dividend Yield | 4.3% | 4.0% | Above avg |
Comparing against Real Estate median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
14.07
vs
Market Price
27.56
Upside
-48.9%
| Margin of Safety | -95.8% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 2,183,455,764 |
| Terminal Value PV | 6,003,724,066 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 8,187,179,830 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 530,568,969 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 2.0% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
35.57%
Full Kelly
17.79%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 54/100. Estimated win rate 56%, avg win 8.3%, avg loss 3.9%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG BUY
3
Bullish Signals
1
Bearish Signals
57.71
RSI(14)
0.0362
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL
63
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (-3.3% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Real Estate) |
| RS New High | No (52d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -9.1% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL:
In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 57.71 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 0.0362 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 27.1 / 27.33 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 1.63x | HIGH |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 30.89 |
| Bollinger Upper | 27.73 |
| SMA(200) | 27.33 |
| SMA(50) | 27.1 |
| SMA(20) | 26.97 |
| Current Price | 27.56 |
| Bollinger Lower | 26.21 |
| 52-Week Low | 24.25 |
| ATR(14) | 0.57 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
DISTRIBUTION C
Confidence
100%
Upthrust (potential)
Acc: 0.0 |
Dist: 2.5 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 1.56x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.14x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 0.87x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.32x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.63x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 27.16 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 26.93 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 27.04 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 27.97 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 27.04 – 27.97 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 27.56 | Inside Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 26.40 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 2/4 | NEUTRAL |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE ON
2 bars
Momentum:
BULLISH FADING
BB: 26.21 – 27.73 | KC: 26.14 – 27.79
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hidden Bearish | RSI | 20 | |
| Regular Bullish | RSI | 22 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 27.62
Anchor: 2026-03-20 (52w Low)
BELOW AVWAP
-0.2%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BULLISH
Full data via /api/advanced/INVH
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 16.03B |
| P/E (TTM) | 24.18 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 1.82 |
| EPS | 1.14 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 1.3% |
| Profit Margin | 23.9% |
| ROE | 7.4% |
| Debt/Equity | 99.41 |
| Current Ratio | 0.61 |
| Dividend Yield | 4.3% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.81 |
Trading Data
27.56
Open
27.56
Day High
27.56
Day Low
9.06M
Volume (1.8x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)