Invitation Homes Inc.

INVH · Real Estate · · USD

28.39 USD

0.00 (-0.21%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 20:07 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Short-term (Swing)

/ 100

Technical 60

Trend & RS 50

Momentum 56

Fundamental (0%) 67

Macro 64

Liquidity 37

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	60.0	40%
Trend & RS	49.9	20%
Momentum	55.9	20%
Fundamental	66.7	0%
Macro	64.4	15%
Liquidity	37.3	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	28.39
Stop Loss	27.45 (3.3%)
Target 1 (1:1)	29.33 (+3.3%)
Target 2 (2:1)	30.27 (+6.6%)

ATR(14)	0.47 (1.7%)
Risk per Share	0.94
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	69.5	+0.78
Momentum	55.9	+0.24
Quality	33.5	-0.66
Composite	53.0

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	26.1	18.0	+45% above
P/B Ratio	1.9	1.5	Above
Dividend Yield	4.2%	4.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Real Estate median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

18.95

Market Price

28.39

Upside

-33.2%

Margin of Safety	-49.8%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	2,669,499,723
Terminal Value PV	8,589,111,482
Total Enterprise Value	11,258,611,205

Assumptions

Base FCF	518,004,611
Growth Rate (5yr)	10.1%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

37.23%

Full Kelly

18.61%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 57/100. Estimated win rate 57%, avg win 8.4%, avg loss 3.9%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

31.01

RSI(14)

-0.3338

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	↓ FALLING (-9.2% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	INLINE (Real Estate)
RS New High	No (49d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-2.7% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	31.01	NEUTRAL
Macd	-0.3338	BEARISH
Ma Cross	29.89 / 27.5	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		LOWER BAND
Volume	0.75x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	30.89
Bollinger Upper	30.9
SMA(200)	27.5
SMA(50)	29.89
SMA(20)	29.65
Current Price	28.39
Bollinger Lower	28.4
52-Week Low	24.25
ATR(14)	0.47

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION E Confidence

50%

Acc: 1.0 | Dist: 1.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	1.8x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	1.02x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	0.91x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	1.06x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	0.75x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	29.35	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	29.57	Base line
Senkou A	29.46	Leading span A
Senkou B	29.57	Leading span B
Cloud	29.46 – 29.57	Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud	28.39	Below Cloud
Chikou Span	29.72	Bearish
Alignment Score	0/4	BEARISH