Invitation Homes Inc.
INVH · Real Estate · · USDFahodi Score SELL Short-term (Swing)
46
/ 100
Technical
50
Trend & RS
56
Momentum
43
Fundamental (0%)
41
Macro
24
Liquidity
66
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 50.0 | 40% |
| Trend & RS | 55.5 | 20% |
| Momentum | 42.7 | 20% |
| Fundamental | 41.4 | 0% |
| Macro | 23.8 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 66.4 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 27.09 |
| Stop Loss | 25.95 (4.2%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 28.23 (+4.2%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 29.37 (+8.4%) |
| ATR(14) | 0.57 (2.1%) |
| Risk per Share | 1.14 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 63.9 | +0.55 | |
| Momentum | 42.7 | -0.29 | |
| Quality | 35.2 | -0.59 | |
| Composite | 47.3 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
5
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✗
✓
✓
✗
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
1.36
—
Distress Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 24.2 | 18.0 | +34% above |
| P/B Ratio | 1.8 | 1.5 | Above |
| Dividend Yield | 4.3% | 4.0% | Above avg |
Comparing against Real Estate median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
14.07
vs
Market Price
27.56
Upside
-48.9%
| Margin of Safety | -95.8% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 2,183,455,764 |
| Terminal Value PV | 6,003,724,066 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 8,187,179,830 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 530,568,969 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 2.0% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
29.89%
Full Kelly
14.95%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 46/100. Estimated win rate 54%, avg win 7.8%, avg loss 4.1%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary BUY
2
Bullish Signals
2
Bearish Signals
50.87
RSI(14)
0.0367
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL
63
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (-3.4% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Real Estate) |
| RS New High | No (53d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -9.2% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL:
In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 50.87 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 0.0367 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 27.06 / 27.33 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.03x | LOW |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 30.89 |
| Bollinger Upper | 27.74 |
| SMA(200) | 27.33 |
| SMA(50) | 27.06 |
| SMA(20) | 26.98 |
| Current Price | 27.56 |
| Bollinger Lower | 26.22 |
| 52-Week Low | 24.25 |
| ATR(14) | 0.57 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.18x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 0.9x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.37x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.7x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-06 | No Supply | 0.03x | Low volume, narrow spread, firm close — no selling pressure |
Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 27.16 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 26.93 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 27.04 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 27.87 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 27.04 – 27.87 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 27.09 | Inside Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 26.04 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 2/4 | NEUTRAL |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE ON
3 bars
Momentum:
BEARISH
BB: 26.22 – 27.74 | KC: 26.14 – 27.82
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hidden Bearish | RSI | 21 | |
| Regular Bullish | RSI | 23 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 27.62
Anchor: 2026-03-20 (52w Low)
BELOW AVWAP
-1.9%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/INVH
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 16.03B |
| P/E (TTM) | 24.18 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 1.82 |
| EPS | 1.14 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 1.3% |
| Profit Margin | 23.9% |
| ROE | 7.4% |
| Debt/Equity | 99.41 |
| Current Ratio | 0.61 |
| Dividend Yield | 4.3% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.81 |
Trading Data
27.56
Open
27.56
Day High
27.56
Day Low
9.06M
Volume (1.8x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)