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Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.

KDP · Consumer Defensive · · USD
32.59 USD
0.00 (-0.88%)
● Updated 2026-09-07 20:04 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score BUY Mid-term (Position)

75
/ 100
Technical 100
Trend & RS 76
Momentum 71
Fundamental 67
Macro 64
Liquidity 40
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 100.0 20%
Trend & RS 75.9 30%
Momentum 71.1 15%
Fundamental 66.7 10%
Macro 64.4 20%
Liquidity 39.5 5%

Trade Setup

Entry 32.59
Stop Loss 30.99 (4.9%)
Target 1 (1:1) 34.19 (+4.9%)
Target 2 (2:1) 35.79 (+9.8%)
ATR(14) 0.80 (2.5%)
Risk per Share 1.60
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 62.3 +0.49
Momentum 71.1 +0.84
Quality 21.5 -1.14
Composite 51.6

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average
✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Fair Value

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 32.9 18.0 +83% above
P/B Ratio 1.8 2.5 Below
Dividend Yield 2.8% 2.0% Above avg

Comparing against Consumer Defensive median multiples.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Fairly Valued

Intrinsic Value
30.86
vs
Market Price
32.59
Upside
-5.3%
Margin of Safety -5.6%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)8,280,616,047
Terminal Value PV33,709,774,108
Total Enterprise Value41,990,390,155

Assumptions

Base FCF1,077,774,138
Growth Rate (5yr)25.0%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%
Recommended Size
48.68%
Full Kelly
24.34%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 75/100. Estimated win rate 62%, avg win 9.5%, avg loss 3.5%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

4
Bullish Signals
0
Bearish Signals
59.05
RSI(14)
0.4769
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL

64
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
RS vs SPY → FLAT (+2.8% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector INLINE (Consumer Defensive)
RS New High No (49d since high)
Sector Outperformance +5.0% (3M)
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL: In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 59.05 NEUTRAL
Macd 0.4769 BULLISH
Ma Cross 31.29 / 28.84 GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger MIDDLE
Volume 0.58x NORMAL

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High33.82
Bollinger Upper33.66
SMA(200)28.84
SMA(50)31.29
SMA(20)31.44
Current Price32.59
Bollinger Lower29.22
52-Week Low24.88
ATR(14)0.8

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-08-31 Normal 1.15x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01 Normal 0.71x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02 Normal 0.84x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03 Normal 0.97x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04 No Demand 0.58x Low volume, narrow spread, weak close — no buying interest

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 32.39 Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 30.91 Base line
Senkou A 31.65 Leading span A
Senkou B 31.24 Leading span B
Cloud 31.24 – 31.65 Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud 32.59 Above Cloud
Chikou Span 31.12 Bullish
Alignment Score 4/4 BULLISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BULLISH FADING
BB: 29.22 – 33.66  |  KC: 30.23 – 32.66

Divergences (last 60 bars)

TypeIndicatorBars AgoStrength
Hidden Bearish RSI 16

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 28.54 Anchor: 2025-10-07 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +14.2%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

BULLISH Full data via /api/advanced/KDP

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap44.35B
P/E (TTM)32.92
Forward P/EN/A
P/B1.77
EPS0.99

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth75.6%
Profit Margin7.1%
ROE5.1%
Debt/Equity99.65
Current Ratio0.48
Dividend Yield2.8%
Payout RatioN/A
Beta0.41

Trading Data

32.59
Open
32.59
Day High
32.59
Day Low
5.87M
Volume (0.4x avg)

Recent News (8)

Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) Cashes Out of Chobani to Clean Up its Books Before a Split
Insider Monkey · 2026-09-07
Keurig Dr Pepper to sell stake – and factory – to Chobani
Just Drinks · 2026-09-02
Soda giant makes another warehouse change, cuts 105 jobs
TheStreet · 2026-09-02
Keurig Dr Pepper Is Selling Its Chobani Stake. Why That’s Good News for the Stock.
Barrons.com · 2026-09-01
Sector Update: Consumer Stocks Mixed in Afternoon Trading
MT Newswires · 2026-09-01
Keurig Dr Pepper sells Chobani stake and Pennsylvania factory for $925M
Quartz · 2026-09-01
Chobani to spend $1.2B to buy and invest in Pennsylvania plant
Food Dive · 2026-09-01
Keurig Dr Pepper to Sell Chobani Stake, Pennsylvania Campus for $925 Million
The Wall Street Journal · 2026-09-01

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —