The Coca-Cola Company

KO · Consumer Defensive · · USD

88.07 USD

0.00 (-0.83%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 19:34 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score BUY Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 75

Trend & RS 93

Momentum 64

Fundamental 56

Macro 64

Liquidity 58

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	75.0	20%
Trend & RS	92.7	30%
Momentum	64.4	15%
Fundamental	55.6	10%
Macro	64.4	20%
Liquidity	58.0	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	88.07
Stop Loss	85.19 (3.3%)
Target 1 (1:1)	90.95 (+3.3%)
Target 2 (2:1)	93.83 (+6.5%)

ATR(14)	1.44 (1.6%)
Risk per Share	2.88
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	26.2	-0.95
Momentum	64.4	+0.58
Quality	66.7	+0.67
Composite	52.4

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 5 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	26.4	18.0	+47% above
P/B Ratio	10.5	2.5	Above
Dividend Yield	2.4%	2.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Consumer Defensive median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

50.26

Market Price

88.07

Upside

-42.9%

Margin of Safety	-75.2%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	53,782,540,752
Terminal Value PV	162,465,126,118
Total Enterprise Value	216,247,666,870

Assumptions

Base FCF	11,461,990,281
Growth Rate (5yr)	6.7%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

47.99%

Full Kelly

23.99%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 74/100. Estimated win rate 62%, avg win 9.4%, avg loss 3.5%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

50.25

RSI(14)

0.7495

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING

/ 99

RS Rating

✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)

RS vs SPY	↑ RISING (+6.8% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Consumer Defensive)
RS New High	No (27d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+9.1% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

IMPROVING: Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	50.25	NEUTRAL
Macd	0.7495	BEARISH
Ma Cross	86.07 / 77.89	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	1.2x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	92.49
Bollinger Upper	92.19
SMA(200)	77.89
SMA(50)	86.07
SMA(20)	88.86
Current Price	88.07
Bollinger Lower	85.53
52-Week Low	65.35
ATR(14)	1.44

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	1.65x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	1.03x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	1.28x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	0.96x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	1.2x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	89.97	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	88.82	Base line
Senkou A	89.40	Leading span A
Senkou B	86.23	Leading span B
Cloud	86.23 – 89.40	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	88.07	Inside Cloud
Chikou Span	87.59	Bullish
Alignment Score	3/4	NEUTRAL