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Lennar Corporation

LEN · Consumer Cyclical · · USD
83.58 USD
0.00 (-1.03%)
● Updated 2026-09-07 21:03 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score STRONG SELL Short-term (Swing)

22
/ 100
Technical 0
Trend & RS 17
Momentum 34
Fundamental (0%) 79
Macro 64
Liquidity 46
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 0.0 40%
Trend & RS 17.0 20%
Momentum 33.7 20%
Fundamental 79.3 0%
Macro 64.4 15%
Liquidity 46.5 5%

Trade Setup

Entry 83.58
Stop Loss 78.82 (5.7%)
Target 1 (1:1) 88.34 (+5.7%)
Target 2 (2:1) 93.10 (+11.4%)
ATR(14) 2.38 (2.9%)
Risk per Share 4.76
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 82.0 +1.28
Momentum 33.7 -0.65
Quality 54.9 +0.19
Composite 56.9

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average
✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✓
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score 4.60 — Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 13.1 18.0 -27% below
P/B Ratio 0.9 2.5 Below
Dividend Yield 2.4% 2.0% Above avg

Comparing against Consumer Cyclical median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Fairly Valued

Intrinsic Value
78.76
vs
Market Price
83.58
Upside
-5.8%
Margin of Safety -6.1%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)4,421,582,195
Terminal Value PV12,157,772,958
Total Enterprise Value16,579,355,153

Assumptions

Base FCF1,074,422,639
Growth Rate (5yr)2.0%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

3.68%
Recommended Size
8.18%
Full Kelly
4.09%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 22/100. Estimated win rate 47%, avg win 6.3%, avg loss 4.6%. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

0
Bullish Signals
4
Bearish Signals
44.89
RSI(14)
-0.5445
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

5
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
RS vs SPY ↓ FALLING (-11.8% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector UNDERPERFORMING (Consumer Cyclical)
RS New High No (59d since high)
Sector Outperformance -11.6% (3M)
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 44.89 NEUTRAL
Macd -0.5445 BEARISH
Ma Cross 85.62 / 97.45 DEATH CROSS
Trend Short BELOW SMA50
Trend Long BELOW SMA200
Bollinger MIDDLE
Volume 1.01x NORMAL

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High142.61
Bollinger Upper89.03
SMA(200)97.45
SMA(50)85.62
SMA(20)85.84
Current Price83.58
Bollinger Lower82.66
52-Week Low79.83
ATR(14)2.38

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKDOWN Confidence
100%
Acc: 0.0  |  Dist: 0.0  |  Markup: 0.0  |  Markdown: 2.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-08-31 Normal 1.02x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01 Normal 1.63x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02 Normal 0.98x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03 Normal 0.93x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04 Normal 1.01x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 85.84 Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 85.80 Base line
Senkou A 85.82 Leading span A
Senkou B 87.65 Leading span B
Cloud 85.82 – 87.65 Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud 83.58 Below Cloud
Chikou Span 82.35 Bullish
Alignment Score 2/4 NEUTRAL

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE ON 14 bars Momentum: BEARISH
BB: 82.66 – 89.03  |  KC: 82.29 – 89.39

Divergences (last 60 bars)

No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 85.59 Anchor: 2026-07-23 (52w Low) BELOW AVWAP -2.4%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

WEAKLY BEARISH Full data via /api/advanced/LEN

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap20.13B
P/E (TTM)13.10
Forward P/EN/A
P/B0.93
EPS6.38

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth-5.2%
Profit Margin4.9%
ROE7.4%
Debt/Equity28.69
Current Ratio8.51
Dividend Yield2.4%
Payout RatioN/A
Beta1.40

Trading Data

83.58
Open
83.58
Day High
83.58
Day Low
2.33M
Volume (0.9x avg)

Recent News (8)

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24/7 Wall St. · 2026-09-03
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Barrons.com · 2026-09-01

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —