Lennar Corporation
LEN · Consumer Cyclical · · USDFahodi Score HOLD Mid-term (Position)
53
/ 100
Technical
75
Trend & RS
50
Momentum
68
Fundamental
56
Macro
22
Liquidity
48
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 75.0 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 50.1 | 30% |
| Momentum | 68.3 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 55.6 | 10% |
| Macro | 22.5 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 47.8 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 91.59 |
| Stop Loss | 84.31 (8.0%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 98.87 (+8.0%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 106.15 (+15.9%) |
| ATR(14) | 3.64 (4.0%) |
| Risk per Share | 7.28 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 83.6 | +1.34 | |
| Momentum | 68.3 | +0.73 | |
| Quality | 53.4 | +0.13 | |
| Composite | 68.4 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
5
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
✗
✗
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Undervalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 17.4 | 18.0 | Inline |
| P/B Ratio | 1.0 | 2.5 | Below |
| Dividend Yield | 2.2% | 2.0% | Above avg |
Comparing against Consumer Cyclical median multiples.
Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
65.18
vs
Market Price
91.59
Upside
-28.8%
| Margin of Safety | -40.5% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 4,135,436,229 |
| Terminal Value PV | 11,370,973,669 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 15,506,409,898 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 1,004,890,583 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 2.0% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
34.45%
Full Kelly
17.22%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 53/100. Estimated win rate 56%, avg win 8.2%, avg loss 3.9%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG BUY
3
Bullish Signals
1
Bearish Signals
63.97
RSI(14)
2.913
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS
25
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (+9.5% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | OUTPERFORMING (Consumer Cyclical) |
| RS New High | ✓ RS at 3-month high Institutional accumulation signal |
| Sector Outperformance | +3.1% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS:
Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 63.97 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 2.913 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 81.01 / 89.62 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.95x | NORMAL |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 133.76 |
| Bollinger Upper | 93.96 |
| SMA(200) | 89.62 |
| SMA(50) | 81.01 |
| SMA(20) | 82.07 |
| Current Price | 91.59 |
| Bollinger Lower | 70.18 |
| 52-Week Low | 71.78 |
| ATR(14) | 3.64 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 0.81x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.0x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 0.95x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.74x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 0.95x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 88.70 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 83.50 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 86.10 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 83.50 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 83.50 – 86.10 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 91.59 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 81.58 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 4/4 | BULLISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH FADING
BB: 70.18 – 93.96 | KC: 76.9 – 87.24
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Bullish | RSI | 17 | |
| Regular Bullish | RSI | 24 | |
| Hidden Bearish | RSI | 28 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 83.01
Anchor: 2026-10-14 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+10.3%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BULLISH
Full data via /api/advanced/LEN
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 21.79B |
| P/E (TTM) | 17.35 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 1.01 |
| EPS | 5.28 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | -8.7% |
| Profit Margin | 4.1% |
| ROE | 6.0% |
| Debt/Equity | 28.20 |
| Current Ratio | 10.13 |
| Dividend Yield | 2.2% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 1.38 |
Trading Data
91.59
Open
91.59
Day High
91.59
Day Low
4.00M
Volume (0.9x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)