Li Auto Inc.
LI · Consumer Cyclical · · USDFahodi Score SELL Long-term (Investment)
39
/ 100
Technical
40
Trend & RS
38
Momentum
36
Fundamental
33
Macro
24
Liquidity
64
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 40.0 | 10% |
| Trend & RS | 38.1 | 10% |
| Momentum | 35.5 | 5% |
| Fundamental | 33.1 | 40% |
| Macro | 23.6 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 63.5 | 20% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 12.14 |
| Stop Loss | 11.40 (6.1%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 12.88 (+6.1%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 13.62 (+12.2%) |
| ATR(14) | 0.37 (3.0%) |
| Risk per Share | 0.74 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 46.3 | -0.15 | |
| Momentum | 35.5 | -0.58 | |
| Quality | 18.5 | -1.26 | |
| Composite | 33.4 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
3
/9 —
Weak
✗
✗
✗
✗
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
1.64
—
Distress Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Undervalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | N/A | 18.0 | Inline |
| P/B Ratio | 1.2 | 2.5 | Below |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% | 2.0% | Below avg |
Comparing against Consumer Cyclical median multiples.
Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
24.01%
Full Kelly
12.01%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 39/100. Estimated win rate 52%, avg win 7.3%, avg loss 4.2%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary SELL
2
Bullish Signals
3
Bearish Signals
61.64
RSI(14)
0.0366
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS
20
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (-0.5% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Consumer Cyclical) |
| RS New High | No (54d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -6.6% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS:
Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 61.64 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 0.0366 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 11.58 / 14.71 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | UPPER BAND | |
| Volume | 0.12x | LOW |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 20.57 |
| Bollinger Upper | 12.02 |
| SMA(200) | 14.71 |
| SMA(50) | 11.58 |
| SMA(20) | 11.45 |
| Current Price | 11.92 |
| Bollinger Lower | 10.87 |
| 52-Week Low | 10.66 |
| ATR(14) | 0.37 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
DISTRIBUTION A
Confidence
75%
Buying Climax
Acc: 1.0 |
Dist: 3.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 0.93x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 0.53x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.81x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.9x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-06 | Normal | 0.12x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 11.58 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 11.45 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 11.51 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 11.70 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 11.51 – 11.70 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 12.14 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 10.69 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 3/4 | BULLISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH
BB: 10.87 – 12.02 | KC: 10.89 – 12.01
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hidden Bearish | RSI | 19 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 11.39
Anchor: 2026-10-02 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+6.6%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BULLISH
Full data via /api/advanced/LI
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 11.65B |
| P/E (TTM) | N/A |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 1.20 |
| EPS | -0.65 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | -15.1% |
| Profit Margin | -4.4% |
| ROE | -6.6% |
| Debt/Equity | 22.27 |
| Current Ratio | 1.81 |
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.40 |
Trading Data
11.92
Open
11.92
Day High
11.92
Day Low
5.03M
Volume (1.7x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)