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Li Auto Inc.

LI · Consumer Cyclical · · USD
12.37 USD
+0.00 (2.57%)
● Updated 2026-09-07 19:37 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score STRONG SELL Short-term (Swing)

20
/ 100
Technical 0
Trend & RS 19
Momentum 22
Fundamental (0%) 22
Macro 64
Liquidity 42
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 0.0 40%
Trend & RS 19.4 20%
Momentum 22.5 20%
Fundamental 22.2 0%
Macro 64.4 15%
Liquidity 42.1 5%

Trade Setup

Entry 12.37
Stop Loss 11.65 (5.8%)
Target 1 (1:1) 13.09 (+5.8%)
Target 2 (2:1) 13.81 (+11.6%)
ATR(14) 0.36 (2.9%)
Risk per Share 0.72
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 91.8 +1.67
Momentum 22.5 -1.10
Quality 18.5 -1.26
Composite 44.3

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 2 /9 — Weak
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio N/A 18.0 Inline
P/B Ratio 1.3 2.5 Below

Comparing against Consumer Cyclical median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

2.72%
Recommended Size
6.04%
Full Kelly
3.02%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 20/100. Estimated win rate 46%, avg win 6.2%, avg loss 4.6%. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

0
Bullish Signals
4
Bearish Signals
48.63
RSI(14)
-0.1773
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

11
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
RS vs SPY ↓ FALLING (-17.6% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector UNDERPERFORMING (Consumer Cyclical)
RS New High No (62d since high)
Sector Outperformance -17.4% (3M)
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 48.63 NEUTRAL
Macd -0.1773 BEARISH
Ma Cross 12.45 / 15.96 DEATH CROSS
Trend Short BELOW SMA50
Trend Long BELOW SMA200
Bollinger MIDDLE
Volume 0.99x NORMAL

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High27.10
Bollinger Upper13.01
SMA(200)15.96
SMA(50)12.45
SMA(20)12.37
Current Price12.37
Bollinger Lower11.73
52-Week Low11.65
ATR(14)0.36

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKDOWN Confidence
100%
Acc: 0.0  |  Dist: 0.0  |  Markup: 0.0  |  Markdown: 2.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-08-31 Normal 0.53x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01 Normal 0.95x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02 Normal 1.37x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03 Normal 1.15x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04 Normal 0.99x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 12.10 Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 12.68 Base line
Senkou A 12.39 Leading span A
Senkou B 12.84 Leading span B
Cloud 12.39 – 12.84 Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud 12.37 Below Cloud
Chikou Span 13.63 Bearish
Alignment Score 0/4 BEARISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BEARISH FADING
BB: 11.73 – 13.01  |  KC: 11.88 – 12.86

Divergences (last 60 bars)

TypeIndicatorBars AgoStrength
Regular Bullish MACD 4

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 12.51 Anchor: 2026-06-30 (52w Low) BELOW AVWAP -1.1%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

WEAKLY BULLISH Full data via /api/advanced/LI

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap12.09B
P/E (TTM)N/A
Forward P/EN/A
P/B1.28
EPS-0.27

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth-15.1%
Profit Margin-4.4%
ROE-6.6%
Debt/Equity22.27
Current Ratio1.81
Dividend YieldN/A
Payout RatioN/A
Beta0.54

Trading Data

12.37
Open
12.37
Day High
12.37
Day Low
2.73M
Volume (0.8x avg)

Recent News (8)

Li Auto (LI), What Is Behind The Latest Attention?
Simply Wall St. · 2026-09-04
Now Could Be the Best Time to Buy Nio Stock as It Slumps to 52-Week Lows
Barchart · 2026-09-03
Down 75%, This Tesla Rival Continues to Grow Vehicle Deliveries in 2026
Barchart · 2026-09-03
NIO Stock Drops. The Weak Chinese Car Market Is Too Much to Overcome.
Barrons.com · 2026-09-02
LI Stock Continues To Hover Near 52-Week Low Despite New, Cheaper MPV Launch
Stocktwits · 2026-09-02
Nio Drops 4% on J.P. Morgan Downgrade and $4.50 Price Target, XPeng and Li Auto Slip
24/7 Wall St. · 2026-09-02
Li Auto (LI) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript
Motley Fool · 2026-09-02
BYD’s Domestic Sales Plunge. China’s Car Market Continues to Struggle.
Barrons.com · 2026-09-01

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —