Li Auto Inc.
LI · Consumer Cyclical · · USDFahodi Score STRONG SELL Short-term (Swing)
20
/ 100
Technical
0
Trend & RS
19
Momentum
22
Fundamental (0%)
22
Macro
64
Liquidity
42
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 0.0 | 40% |
| Trend & RS | 19.4 | 20% |
| Momentum | 22.5 | 20% |
| Fundamental | 22.2 | 0% |
| Macro | 64.4 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 42.1 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 12.37 |
| Stop Loss | 11.65 (5.8%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 13.09 (+5.8%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 13.81 (+11.6%) |
| ATR(14) | 0.36 (2.9%) |
| Risk per Share | 0.72 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 91.8 | +1.67 | |
| Momentum | 22.5 | -1.10 | |
| Quality | 18.5 | -1.26 | |
| Composite | 44.3 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
2
/9 —
Weak
✗
✗
✗
✗
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Undervalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | N/A | 18.0 | Inline |
| P/B Ratio | 1.3 | 2.5 | Below |
Comparing against Consumer Cyclical median multiples.
Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
2.72%
Recommended Size
6.04%
Full Kelly
3.02%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 20/100. Estimated win rate 46%, avg win 6.2%, avg loss 4.6%. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
BEAR
Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%
Signal Summary STRONG SELL
0
Bullish Signals
4
Bearish Signals
48.63
RSI(14)
-0.1773
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS
11
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | ↓ FALLING (-17.6% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Consumer Cyclical) |
| RS New High | No (62d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -17.4% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS:
Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 48.63 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | -0.1773 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 12.45 / 15.96 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.99x | NORMAL |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 27.10 |
| Bollinger Upper | 13.01 |
| SMA(200) | 15.96 |
| SMA(50) | 12.45 |
| SMA(20) | 12.37 |
| Current Price | 12.37 |
| Bollinger Lower | 11.73 |
| 52-Week Low | 11.65 |
| ATR(14) | 0.36 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
MARKDOWN
Confidence
100%
Acc: 0.0 |
Dist: 0.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 2.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Normal | 0.53x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-01 | Normal | 0.95x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-02 | Normal | 1.37x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-03 | Normal | 1.15x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-04 | Normal | 0.99x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 12.10 | Below Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 12.68 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 12.39 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 12.84 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 12.39 – 12.84 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 12.37 | Below Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 13.63 | Bearish |
| Alignment Score | 0/4 | BEARISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BEARISH FADING
BB: 11.73 – 13.01 | KC: 11.88 – 12.86
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Bullish | MACD | 4 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 12.51
Anchor: 2026-06-30 (52w Low)
BELOW AVWAP
-1.1%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BULLISH
Full data via /api/advanced/LI
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 12.09B |
| P/E (TTM) | N/A |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 1.28 |
| EPS | -0.27 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | -15.1% |
| Profit Margin | -4.4% |
| ROE | -6.6% |
| Debt/Equity | 22.27 |
| Current Ratio | 1.81 |
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.54 |
Trading Data
12.37
Open
12.37
Day High
12.37
Day Low
2.73M
Volume (0.8x avg)
Recent News (8)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)