Lennox International Inc.

LII · Industrials · · USD

390.53 USD

+0.00 (1.15%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 20:06 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score SELL Long-term (Investment)

/ 100

Technical 25

Trend & RS 20

Momentum 20

Fundamental 56

Macro 64

Liquidity 45

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	25.0	10%
Trend & RS	20.3	10%
Momentum	19.7	5%
Fundamental	55.6	40%
Macro	64.4	15%
Liquidity	45.0	20%

Trade Setup

Entry	390.53
Stop Loss	364.53 (6.7%)
Target 1 (1:1)	416.53 (+6.7%)
Target 2 (2:1)	442.53 (+13.3%)

ATR(14)	13.00 (3.3%)
Risk per Share	26.00
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	36.3	-0.55
Momentum	19.7	-1.21
Quality	60.1	+0.40
Composite	38.7

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 5 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	17.4	18.0	Inline
P/B Ratio	10.4	3.0	Above
Dividend Yield	1.4%	2.0%	Below avg

Comparing against Industrials median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

289.92

Market Price

390.53

Upside

-25.8%

Margin of Safety	-34.7%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	2,631,813,420
Terminal Value PV	7,387,981,571
Total Enterprise Value	10,019,794,991

Assumptions

Base FCF	621,815,668
Growth Rate (5yr)	3.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

29.81%

Full Kelly

14.91%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 46/100. Estimated win rate 54%, avg win 7.8%, avg loss 4.1%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

36.36

RSI(14)

-23.6266

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	↓ FALLING (-27.7% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	UNDERPERFORMING (Industrials)
RS New High	No (50d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-23.2% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	36.36	NEUTRAL
Macd	-23.6266	BULLISH
Ma Cross	472.87 / 496.34	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.95x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	587.27
Bollinger Upper	436.4
SMA(200)	496.34
SMA(50)	472.87
SMA(20)	402.39
Current Price	390.53
Bollinger Lower	368.37
52-Week Low	371.65
ATR(14)	13.0

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKDOWN Confidence

100%

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 0.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 2.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	1.37x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	0.99x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	0.84x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	1.63x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	0.95x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	388.62	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	414.07	Base line
Senkou A	401.35	Leading span A
Senkou B	479.46	Leading span B
Cloud	401.35 – 479.46	Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud	390.53	Below Cloud
Chikou Span	415.88	Bearish
Alignment Score	0/4	BEARISH