Linde plc

LIN · Basic Materials · · USD

477.57 USD

0.00 (-0.96%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 20:06 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 75

Trend & RS 63

Momentum 43

Fundamental 83

Macro 64

Liquidity 60

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	75.0	20%
Trend & RS	63.3	30%
Momentum	43.0	15%
Fundamental	83.3	10%
Macro	64.4	20%
Liquidity	60.1	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	477.57
Stop Loss	460.69 (3.5%)
Target 1 (1:1)	494.45 (+3.5%)
Target 2 (2:1)	511.33 (+7.1%)

ATR(14)	8.44 (1.8%)
Risk per Share	16.88
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	44.2	-0.23
Momentum	43.0	-0.28
Quality	42.8	-0.29
Composite	43.3

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 5.81 — Safe Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	30.8	18.0	+71% above
P/B Ratio	5.6	2.5	Above
Dividend Yield	1.3%	2.0%	Below avg

Comparing against Basic Materials median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

261.09

Market Price

477.57

Upside

-45.3%

Margin of Safety	-82.9%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	28,854,809,950
Terminal Value PV	91,504,566,910
Total Enterprise Value	120,359,376,860

Assumptions

Base FCF	5,723,529,704
Growth Rate (5yr)	9.3%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

42.47%

Full Kelly

21.24%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 65/100. Estimated win rate 59%, avg win 8.9%, avg loss 3.7%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

39.56

RSI(14)

-3.6612

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAKENING

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	↓ FALLING (-10.4% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	UNDERPERFORMING (Basic Materials)
RS New High	No (45d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-5.1% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

WEAKENING: Losing momentum — the stock was performing well but is now falling behind the market.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	39.56	NEUTRAL
Macd	-3.6612	BULLISH
Ma Cross	499.93 / 477.28	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	1.2x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	548.20
Bollinger Upper	493.42
SMA(200)	477.28
SMA(50)	499.93
SMA(20)	483.18
Current Price	477.57
Bollinger Lower	472.95
52-Week Low	387.78
ATR(14)	8.44

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

Insufficient data for Wyckoff analysis.

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Normal	1.11x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01	Normal	0.87x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	0.61x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	0.96x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	1.2x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	484.68	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	481.44	Base line
Senkou A	483.06	Leading span A
Senkou B	505.87	Leading span B
Cloud	483.06 – 505.87	Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud	477.57	Below Cloud
Chikou Span	476.81	Bullish
Alignment Score	2/4	NEUTRAL