Linde plc

LIN · Basic Materials · · USD

468.88 USD

0.00 (-1.82%)

● Updated 2026-09-08 21:06 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 40

Trend & RS 54

Momentum 40

Fundamental 67

Macro 65

Liquidity 49

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	40.0	20%
Trend & RS	53.7	30%
Momentum	40.2	15%
Fundamental	66.7	10%
Macro	64.7	20%
Liquidity	49.1	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	469.04
Stop Loss	451.72 (3.7%)
Target 1 (1:1)	486.36 (+3.7%)
Target 2 (2:1)	503.68 (+7.4%)

ATR(14)	8.66 (1.9%)
Risk per Share	17.32
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	45.5	-0.18
Momentum	40.2	-0.39
Quality	42.8	-0.29
Composite	42.8

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	30.2	18.0	+68% above
P/B Ratio	5.5	2.5	Above
Dividend Yield	1.3%	2.0%	Below avg

Comparing against Basic Materials median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

261.09

Market Price

468.88

Upside

-44.3%

Margin of Safety	-79.6%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	28,854,810,093
Terminal Value PV	91,504,567,361
Total Enterprise Value	120,359,377,454

Assumptions

Base FCF	5,723,529,732
Growth Rate (5yr)	9.3%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

34.09%

Full Kelly

17.04%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 52/100. Estimated win rate 56%, avg win 8.1%, avg loss 4.0%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary SELL

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

33.75

RSI(14)

-4.5794

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAKENING

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	↓ FALLING (-10.3% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	UNDERPERFORMING (Basic Materials)
RS New High	No (46d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-6.8% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

WEAKENING: Losing momentum — the stock was performing well but is now falling behind the market.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	33.75	NEUTRAL
Macd	-4.5794	BEARISH
Ma Cross	498.95 / 477.58	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		LOWER BAND
Volume	0.69x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	548.20
Bollinger Upper	493.48
SMA(200)	477.58
SMA(50)	498.95
SMA(20)	482.09
Current Price	468.88
Bollinger Lower	470.71
52-Week Low	387.78
ATR(14)	8.66

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKDOWN Confidence

100%

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 0.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 2.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-09-01	Normal	0.88x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	0.62x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	0.98x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	1.22x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-08	Normal	0.69x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	479.44	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	481.77	Base line
Senkou A	480.60	Leading span A
Senkou B	505.87	Leading span B
Cloud	480.60 – 505.87	Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud	469.04	Below Cloud
Chikou Span	478.88	Bearish
Alignment Score	0/4	BEARISH