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Lam Research Corporation

LRCX · Technology · · USD
296.05 USD
+0.00 (0.68%)
● Updated 2026-05-12 09:47 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score STRONG BUY Mid-term (Position)

87
/ 100
Technical 100
Trend & RS 100
Momentum 89
Fundamental 78
Macro 66
Liquidity 58
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 100.0 20%
Trend & RS 99.6 30%
Momentum 88.7 15%
Fundamental 77.8 10%
Macro 66.0 20%
Liquidity 57.7 5%

Trade Setup

Entry 296.05
Stop Loss 270.81 (8.5%)
Target 1 (1:1) 321.29 (+8.5%)
Target 2 (2:1) 346.53 (+17.1%)
ATR(14) 12.62 (4.3%)
Risk per Share 25.24
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 0.0 -2.00
Momentum 88.7 +1.55
Quality 80.0 +1.20
Composite 56.2

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 7 /9 — Strong
✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 55.9 28.0 +100% above
P/B Ratio 35.0 6.0 Above
Dividend Yield 35.0% 0.8% Above avg

Comparing against Technology median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value
157.94
vs
Market Price
296.05
Upside
-46.7%
Margin of Safety -87.4%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)39,476,814,890
Terminal Value PV158,035,789,070
Total Enterprise Value197,512,603,960

Assumptions

Base FCF5,302,421,000
Growth Rate (5yr)23.8%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%
Recommended Size
55.29%
Full Kelly
27.64%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 87/100. Estimated win rate 66%, avg win 10.2%, avg loss 3.3%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

4
Bullish Signals
0
Bearish Signals
66.52
RSI(14)
12.8146
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING

98
/ 99
RS Rating
✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)
RS vs SPY ↑ RISING (+22.4% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector UNDERPERFORMING (Technology)
RS New High Near 3-month high 3d since high
Sector Outperformance -12.2% (3M)
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS
IMPROVING: Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 66.52 NEUTRAL
Macd 12.8146 BULLISH
Ma Cross 242.2 / 179.52 GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger MIDDLE
Volume 0.92x NORMAL

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High300.00
Bollinger Upper297.29
SMA(200)179.52
SMA(50)242.2
SMA(20)268.09
Current Price296.05
Bollinger Lower238.88
52-Week Low79.49
ATR(14)12.62

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKUP Confidence
100%
Acc: 0.0  |  Dist: 0.0  |  Markup: 2.0  |  Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-05-05 Normal 1.23x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-06 Normal 1.53x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-07 Normal 1.01x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-08 Normal 0.93x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-11 Normal 0.92x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 270.80 Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 258.25 Base line
Senkou A 264.52 Leading span A
Senkou B 247.04 Leading span B
Cloud 247.04 – 264.52 Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud 296.05 Above Cloud
Chikou Span 220.65 Bullish
Alignment Score 4/4 BULLISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BULLISH
BB: 238.88 – 297.29  |  KC: 249.61 – 286.57

Divergences (last 60 bars)

No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 160.84 Anchor: 2025-05-09 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +84.1%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

BULLISH Full data via /api/advanced/LRCX

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap370.23B
P/E (TTM)55.86
Forward P/EN/A
P/B34.98
EPS5.30

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth23.8%
Profit Margin30.9%
ROE66.8%
Debt/Equity35.28
Current Ratio2.54
Dividend Yield35.0%
Payout RatioN/A
Beta1.82

Trading Data

296.05
Open
296.05
Day High
296.05
Day Low
8.26M
Volume (0.8x avg)

Recent News (8)

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Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —