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Lam Research Corporation

LRCX · Technology · · USD
345.69 USD
0.00 (-2.12%)
● Updated 2026-07-10 18:06 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score BUY Long-term (Investment)

77
/ 100
Technical 75
Trend & RS 100
Momentum 86
Fundamental 89
Macro 67
Liquidity 46
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 75.0 10%
Trend & RS 99.6 10%
Momentum 86.0 5%
Fundamental 88.9 40%
Macro 67.2 15%
Liquidity 46.4 20%

Trade Setup

Entry 349.58
Stop Loss 294.70 (15.7%)
Target 1 (1:1) 404.46 (+15.7%)
Target 2 (2:1) 459.35 (+31.4%)
ATR(14) 27.44 (7.8%)
Risk per Share 54.88
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 0.0 -2.00
Momentum 86.0 +1.44
Quality 80.0 +1.20
Composite 55.4

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 7 /9 — Strong
✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score 73.85 — Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 65.2 28.0 +133% above
P/B Ratio 40.8 6.0 Above
Dividend Yield 29.0% 0.8% Above avg

Comparing against Technology median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value
167.47
vs
Market Price
345.69
Upside
-51.6%
Margin of Safety -106.4%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)41,860,321,010
Terminal Value PV167,577,573,823
Total Enterprise Value209,437,894,833

Assumptions

Base FCF5,622,567,216
Growth Rate (5yr)23.8%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.8%
Recommended Size
49.66%
Full Kelly
24.83%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 77/100. Estimated win rate 63%, avg win 9.6%, avg loss 3.5%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (20% confidence) — position size reduced 4%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

3
Bullish Signals
1
Bearish Signals
48.92
RSI(14)
4.9532
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING

98
/ 99
RS Rating
✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)
RS vs SPY ↑ RISING (+24.1% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector OUTPERFORMING (Technology)
RS New High No (7d since high)
Sector Outperformance +19.6% (3M)
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS
IMPROVING: Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 48.92 NEUTRAL
Macd 4.9532 BEARISH
Ma Cross 329.13 / 227.93 GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger MIDDLE
Volume 0.13x LOW

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High438.50
Bollinger Upper428.51
SMA(200)227.93
SMA(50)329.13
SMA(20)374.27
Current Price345.69
Bollinger Lower320.03
52-Week Low90.94
ATR(14)27.44

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION C Confidence
56%
Spring (potential)
Acc: 2.5  |  Dist: 0.0  |  Markup: 2.0  |  Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-07-06 Normal 0.96x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-07 Normal 1.1x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-08 No Supply 0.57x Low volume, narrow spread, firm close — no selling pressure
2026-07-09 Normal 0.86x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-10 No Supply 0.13x Low volume, narrow spread, firm close — no selling pressure

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 375.80 Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 370.51 Base line
Senkou A 373.16 Leading span A
Senkou B 339.96 Leading span B
Cloud 339.96 – 373.16 Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud 349.58 Inside Cloud
Chikou Span 343.47 Bullish
Alignment Score 3/4 NEUTRAL

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BEARISH
BB: 320.03 – 428.51  |  KC: 329.36 – 419.19

Divergences (last 60 bars)

TypeIndicatorBars AgoStrength
Regular Bearish RSI 8
Regular Bearish MACD 8
Regular Bearish RSI 14

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 209.08 Anchor: 2025-07-31 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +67.2%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

WEAKLY BEARISH Full data via /api/advanced/LRCX

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap432.31B
P/E (TTM)65.22
Forward P/EN/A
P/B40.84
EPS5.62

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth23.8%
Profit Margin30.9%
ROE66.8%
Debt/Equity35.28
Current Ratio2.54
Dividend Yield29.0%
Payout RatioN/A
Beta1.80

Trading Data

345.69
Open
345.69
Day High
345.69
Day Low
1.79M
Volume (0.2x avg)

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Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —