Lam Research Corporation

LRCX · Technology · · USD

295.44 USD

+0.00 (2.14%)

● Updated 2026-05-14 11:17 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score STRONG BUY Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 100

Trend & RS 100

Momentum 89

Fundamental 89

Macro 72

Liquidity 55

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	100.0	20%
Trend & RS	99.6	30%
Momentum	89.0	15%
Fundamental	88.9	10%
Macro	71.8	20%
Liquidity	54.7	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	295.44
Stop Loss	269.56 (8.8%)
Target 1 (1:1)	321.32 (+8.8%)
Target 2 (2:1)	347.20 (+17.5%)

ATR(14)	12.94 (4.4%)
Risk per Share	25.88
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	0.0	-2.00
Momentum	89.0	+1.56
Quality	80.0	+1.20
Composite	56.4

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 7 /9 — Strong

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 63.76 — Safe Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	55.9	28.0	+100% above
P/B Ratio	34.9	6.0	Above
Dividend Yield	35.0%	0.8%	Above avg

Comparing against Technology median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value

157.64

Market Price

295.44

Upside

-46.6%

Margin of Safety	-87.4%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	39,402,330,629
Terminal Value PV	157,737,609,529
Total Enterprise Value	197,139,940,158

Assumptions

Base FCF	5,292,416,472
Growth Rate (5yr)	23.8%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

56.43%

Full Kelly

28.22%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 89/100. Estimated win rate 67%, avg win 10.4%, avg loss 3.2%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

64.51

RSI(14)

13.3211

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING

/ 99

RS Rating

✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)

RS vs SPY	↑ RISING (+18.2% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	UNDERPERFORMING (Technology)
RS New High	Near 3-month high 5d since high
Sector Outperformance	-5.9% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

IMPROVING: Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	64.51	NEUTRAL
Macd	13.3211	BULLISH
Ma Cross	244.94 / 181.47	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.9x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	300.00
Bollinger Upper	303.24
SMA(200)	181.47
SMA(50)	244.94
SMA(20)	270.44
Current Price	295.44
Bollinger Lower	237.64
52-Week Low	79.49
ATR(14)	12.94

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKUP Confidence

100%

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 0.0 | Markup: 2.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-05-07	Normal	1.02x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-08	Normal	0.94x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-11	Normal	0.96x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-12	Normal	0.98x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-05-13	Normal	0.9x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	275.06	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	270.75	Base line
Senkou A	272.90	Leading span A
Senkou B	247.04	Leading span B
Cloud	247.04 – 272.90	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	295.44	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	246.49	Bullish
Alignment Score	4/4	BULLISH