lululemon athletica inc.
LULU · Consumer Cyclical · · USDFahodi Score SELL Short-term (Swing)
40
/ 100
Technical
50
Trend & RS
34
Momentum
43
Fundamental (0%)
89
Macro
24
Liquidity
31
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 50.0 | 40% |
| Trend & RS | 33.6 | 20% |
| Momentum | 43.3 | 20% |
| Fundamental | 88.9 | 0% |
| Macro | 23.8 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 31.1 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 107.55 |
| Stop Loss | 99.05 (7.9%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 116.05 (+7.9%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 124.55 (+15.8%) |
| ATR(14) | 4.25 (4.0%) |
| Risk per Share | 8.50 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 85.5 | +1.42 | |
| Momentum | 43.3 | -0.27 | |
| Quality | 58.5 | +0.34 | |
| Composite | 62.4 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
7
/9 —
Strong
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
6.78
—
Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Undervalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 9.1 | 18.0 | -49% below |
| P/B Ratio | 2.6 | 2.5 | Inline |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% | 2.0% | Below avg |
Comparing against Consumer Cyclical median multiples.
Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Undervalued
Intrinsic Value
149.99
vs
Market Price
110.75
Upside
+35.4%
| Margin of Safety | +26.2% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 4,223,848,395 |
| Terminal Value PV | 11,614,075,575 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 15,837,923,970 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 1,026,374,302 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 2.0% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
25.17%
Full Kelly
12.58%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 40/100. Estimated win rate 52%, avg win 7.4%, avg loss 4.2%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary BUY
2
Bullish Signals
2
Bearish Signals
55.82
RSI(14)
2.6404
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS
9
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (-10.9% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Consumer Cyclical) |
| RS New High | No (62d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -14.3% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS:
Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 55.82 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 2.6404 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 102.1 / 131.62 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.02x | LOW |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 225.98 |
| Bollinger Upper | 114.39 |
| SMA(200) | 131.62 |
| SMA(50) | 102.1 |
| SMA(20) | 102.63 |
| Current Price | 110.75 |
| Bollinger Lower | 90.86 |
| 52-Week Low | 90.38 |
| ATR(14) | 4.25 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
DISTRIBUTION A
Confidence
50%
Buying Climax
Acc: 0.0 |
Dist: 2.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 2.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 0.79x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 0.64x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.29x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.0x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-06 | No Demand | 0.02x | Low volume, narrow spread, weak close — no buying interest |
Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 108.47 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 102.56 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 105.51 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 107.42 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 105.51 – 107.42 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 107.55 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 94.46 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 3/4 | BULLISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH FADING
BB: 90.86 – 114.39 | KC: 96.23 – 109.02
Divergences (last 60 bars)
No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 101.37
Anchor: 2026-10-08 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+6.1%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/LULU
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 12.83B |
| P/E (TTM) | 9.12 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 2.58 |
| EPS | 12.15 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | -4.3% |
| Profit Margin | 12.8% |
| ROE | 30.9% |
| Debt/Equity | 44.69 |
| Current Ratio | 2.19 |
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.84 |
Trading Data
110.75
Open
110.75
Day High
110.75
Day Low
172.6K
Volume (0.0x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)