lululemon athletica inc.

LULU · Consumer Cyclical · · USD

100.61 USD

0.00 (-17.38%)

● Updated 2026-09-07 20:33 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score STRONG SELL Short-term (Swing)

/ 100

Technical 20

Trend & RS 22

Momentum 12

Fundamental (0%) 67

Macro 64

Liquidity 80

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	20.0	40%
Trend & RS	22.0	20%
Momentum	12.1	20%
Fundamental	66.7	0%
Macro	64.4	15%
Liquidity	80.5	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	100.61
Stop Loss	88.83 (11.7%)
Target 1 (1:1)	112.39 (+11.7%)
Target 2 (2:1)	124.17 (+23.4%)

ATR(14)	5.89 (5.8%)
Risk per Share	11.78
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	86.4	+1.46
Momentum	11.0	-1.56
Quality	58.5	+0.34
Composite	52.0

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	8.3	18.0	-54% below
P/B Ratio	2.4	2.5	Inline

Comparing against Consumer Cyclical median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Undervalued

Intrinsic Value

149.99

Market Price

100.61

Upside

+49.1%

Margin of Safety	+32.9%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	4,428,490,918
Terminal Value PV	12,176,769,471
Total Enterprise Value	16,605,260,389

Assumptions

Base FCF	1,076,101,425
Growth Rate (5yr)	2.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%

Recommended Size

14.58%

Full Kelly

7.29%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 28/100. Estimated win rate 49%, avg win 6.7%, avg loss 4.4%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary STRONG SELL

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

31.79

RSI(14)

-1.5214

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	→ FLAT (-16.6% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	UNDERPERFORMING (Consumer Cyclical)
RS New High	No (20d since high)
Sector Outperformance	-16.5% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	31.79	NEUTRAL
Macd	-1.5214	BEARISH
Ma Cross	118.4 / 152.77	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		LOWER BAND
Volume	6.19x	HIGH

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	225.98
Bollinger Upper	129.6
SMA(200)	152.77
SMA(50)	118.4
SMA(20)	118.92
Current Price	100.61
Bollinger Lower	108.24
52-Week Low	97.99
ATR(14)	5.89

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKDOWN Confidence

100%

Sign of Weakness

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 0.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 3.5

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-08-31	Stopping Volume	2.26x	High volume down-bar closing near low — potential climax (Stopping Volume)
2026-09-01	Normal	0.63x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02	Normal	0.65x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03	Normal	2.81x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04	Normal	6.19x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	111.23	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	113.43	Base line
Senkou A	112.33	Leading span A
Senkou B	113.43	Leading span B
Cloud	112.33 – 113.43	Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud	100.61	Below Cloud
Chikou Span	118.87	Bearish
Alignment Score	0/4	BEARISH