MARA Holdings, Inc.

MARA · Financial Services · · USD

12.71 USD

0.00 (-3.90%)

● Updated 2026-07-10 17:10 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Short-term (Swing)

/ 100

Technical 50

Trend & RS 48

Momentum 68

Fundamental (0%) 13

Macro 71

Liquidity 27

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	50.0	40%
Trend & RS	48.5	20%
Momentum	68.2	20%
Fundamental	13.4	0%
Macro	71.2	15%
Liquidity	26.9	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	12.74
Stop Loss	10.19 (20.1%)
Target 1 (1:1)	15.30 (+20.1%)
Target 2 (2:1)	17.86 (+40.2%)

ATR(14)	1.28 (10.0%)
Risk per Share	2.56
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	82.4	+1.30
Momentum	68.2	+0.73
Quality	12.8	-1.49
Composite	54.5

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 1 /9 — Weak

✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 0.78 — Distress Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	N/A	18.0	Inline
P/B Ratio	2.2	2.5	Below

Comparing against Financial Services median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.8%

Recommended Size

36.34%

Full Kelly

18.17%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 55/100. Estimated win rate 57%, avg win 8.3%, avg loss 3.9%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (20% confidence) — position size reduced 4%

Signal Summary BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

45.96

RSI(14)

-0.2152

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	→ FLAT (+20.8% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Financial Services)
RS New High	No (12d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+22.6% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	45.96	NEUTRAL
Macd	-0.2152	BEARISH
Ma Cross	13.32 / 12.33	GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short		BELOW SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.19x	LOW

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	23.45
Bollinger Upper	15.41
SMA(200)	12.33
SMA(50)	13.32
SMA(20)	13.68
Current Price	12.71
Bollinger Lower	11.95
52-Week Low	6.66
ATR(14)	1.28

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKUP Confidence

100%

Acc: 0.0 | Dist: 0.0 | Markup: 2.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-07-06	Normal	0.72x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-07	Normal	0.72x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-08	Normal	0.75x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-09	Normal	1.85x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-10	Normal	0.19x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	13.24	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	14.01	Base line
Senkou A	13.62	Leading span A
Senkou B	13.35	Leading span B
Cloud	13.35 – 13.62	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	12.74	Below Cloud
Chikou Span	13.96	Bearish
Alignment Score	1/4	BEARISH