MARA Holdings, Inc.
MARA · Financial Services · · USDFahodi Score STRONG SELL Mid-term (Position)
30
/ 100
Technical
40
Trend & RS
53
Momentum
0
Fundamental
0
Macro
22
Liquidity
39
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 40.0 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 53.0 | 30% |
| Momentum | 0.0 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 0.0 | 10% |
| Macro | 22.5 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 38.9 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 5.88 |
| Stop Loss | 4.52 (23.1%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 7.24 (+23.1%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 8.60 (+46.3%) |
| ATR(14) | 0.68 (11.6%) |
| Risk per Share | 1.36 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 91.0 | +1.64 | |
| Momentum | 0.0 | -2.00 | |
| Quality | 10.4 | -1.58 | |
| Composite | 33.8 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
0
/9 —
Weak
✗
✗
✗
✗
✗
✗
✗
✗
✗
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Undervalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | N/A | 18.0 | Inline |
| P/B Ratio | 1.4 | 2.5 | Below |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% | 2.0% | Below avg |
Comparing against Financial Services median multiples.
Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
16.28%
Full Kelly
8.14%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 30/100. Estimated win rate 49%, avg win 6.8%, avg loss 4.4%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary SELL
2
Bullish Signals
3
Bearish Signals
28.13
RSI(14)
-1.0454
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) WEAKENING
94
/ 99
RS Rating
✓ O'Neil PASS (≥80)
| RS vs SPY | ↓ FALLING (-36.8% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Financial Services) |
| RS New High | No (32d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -47.5% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
WEAKENING:
Losing momentum — the stock was performing well but is now falling behind the market.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 28.13 | OVERSOLD |
| Macd | -1.0454 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 9.99 / 10.71 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 1.16x | NORMAL |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 16.62 |
| Bollinger Upper | 9.49 |
| SMA(200) | 10.71 |
| SMA(50) | 9.99 |
| SMA(20) | 7.54 |
| Current Price | 5.88 |
| Bollinger Lower | 5.59 |
| 52-Week Low | 5.69 |
| ATR(14) | 0.68 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
MARKDOWN
Confidence
100%
Acc: 0.0 |
Dist: 0.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 2.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 1.19x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 0.84x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 0.99x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.29x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.16x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 6.58 | Below Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 8.96 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 7.77 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 9.84 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 7.77 – 9.84 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 5.88 | Below Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 11.21 | Bearish |
| Alignment Score | 0/4 | BEARISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BEARISH
BB: 5.59 – 9.49 | KC: 6.6 – 8.48
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hidden Bearish | RSI | 7 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 10.27
Anchor: 2026-08-13 (52w Low)
BELOW AVWAP
-42.8%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/MARA
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 2.27B |
| P/E (TTM) | N/A |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 1.35 |
| EPS | -9.40 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | -26.7% |
| Profit Margin | N/A |
| ROE | -1.1% |
| Debt/Equity | 140.16 |
| Current Ratio | 0.89 |
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 5.25 |
Trading Data
5.88
Open
5.88
Day High
5.88
Day Low
42.20M
Volume (1.0x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)