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MongoDB, Inc.

MDB · Technology · · USD
368.74 USD
0.00 (-4.09%)
● Updated 2026-09-07 21:07 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Short-term (Swing)

60
/ 100
Technical 60
Trend & RS 48
Momentum 68
Fundamental (0%) 89
Macro 64
Liquidity 56
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 60.0 40%
Trend & RS 48.1 20%
Momentum 67.6 20%
Fundamental 88.9 0%
Macro 64.4 15%
Liquidity 56.5 5%

Trade Setup

Entry 368.74
Stop Loss 321.50 (12.8%)
Target 1 (1:1) 415.98 (+12.8%)
Target 2 (2:1) 463.22 (+25.6%)
ATR(14) 23.62 (6.4%)
Risk per Share 47.24
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 0.0 -2.00
Momentum 67.6 +0.70
Quality 49.4 -0.02
Composite 39.0

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 7 /9 — Strong
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score 324.29 Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 526.8 28.0 +1781% above
P/B Ratio 10.1 6.0 Above

Comparing against Technology median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value
21.82
vs
Market Price
368.74
Upside
-94.1%
Margin of Safety -1590.1%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)346,059,990
Terminal Value PV1,408,784,560
Total Enterprise Value1,754,844,550

Assumptions

Base FCF45,041,879
Growth Rate (5yr)25.0%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%
Recommended Size
39.18%
Full Kelly
19.59%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 60/100. Estimated win rate 58%, avg win 8.6%, avg loss 3.8%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary BUY

3
Bullish Signals
2
Bearish Signals
42.23
RSI(14)
5.9827
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

20
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
RS vs SPY → FLAT (+0.4% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector OUTPERFORMING (Technology)
RS New High No (16d since high)
Sector Outperformance +11.3% (3M)
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 42.23 NEUTRAL
Macd 5.9827 BEARISH
Ma Cross 373.45 / 342.45 GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short BELOW SMA50
Trend Long ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger LOWER BAND
Volume 1.06x NORMAL

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High473.10
Bollinger Upper480.9
SMA(200)342.45
SMA(50)373.45
SMA(20)425.42
Current Price368.74
Bollinger Lower369.94
52-Week Low215.68
ATR(14)23.62

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION E Confidence
50%
Acc: 1.0  |  Dist: 1.0  |  Markup: 0.0  |  Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-08-31 Normal 0.9x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01 Normal 1.86x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02 Stopping Volume 3.8x High volume down-bar closing near low — potential climax (Stopping Volume)
2026-09-03 Normal 1.37x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04 Normal 1.06x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 411.88 Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 399.05 Base line
Senkou A 405.46 Leading span A
Senkou B 381.84 Leading span B
Cloud 381.84 – 405.46 Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud 368.74 Below Cloud
Chikou Span 337.48 Bullish
Alignment Score 3/4 NEUTRAL

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BEARISH
BB: 369.94 – 480.9  |  KC: 389.4 – 461.44

Divergences (last 60 bars)

No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 339.29 Anchor: 2026-04-10 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +8.7%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

BEARISH Full data via /api/advanced/MDB

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap29.66B
P/E (TTM)526.77
Forward P/EN/A
P/B10.11
EPS0.70

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth30.5%
Profit Margin2.1%
ROE2.0%
Debt/Equity1.85
Current Ratio4.87
Dividend YieldN/A
Payout RatioN/A
Beta1.58

Trading Data

368.74
Open
368.74
Day High
368.74
Day Low
2.07M
Volume (1.3x avg)

Recent News (8)

AI Token Costs Are Changing the Hardware vs. Software Debate
MarketBeat · 2026-09-06
Why Is MongoDB (MDB) Putting A Veteran Executive In Charge Of AI Growth?
Simply Wall St. · 2026-09-05
Jim Cramer Explains Why SanDisk (SNDK) Makes MongoDB (MDB) Look Expensive
Insider Monkey · 2026-09-05
Why MongoDB Fell This Week
Motley Fool · 2026-09-03
MongoDB missed one number and investors punished the stock
TheStreet · 2026-09-03
MongoDB’s Spending Fears Collide With a Much Stronger Growth Story
MarketBeat · 2026-09-03
Dow Jones Futures Rise, Oil Prices Keep Climbing; Snowflake, Victoria's Secret Are Big Movers With Tesla Cybercab Event Due
Investor's Business Daily · 2026-09-03
Why MongoDB (MDB) Shares Are Plunging Today
StockStory · 2026-09-03

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —