MongoDB, Inc.
MDB · Technology · · USDFahodi Score HOLD Short-term (Swing)
60
/ 100
Technical
60
Trend & RS
48
Momentum
68
Fundamental (0%)
89
Macro
64
Liquidity
56
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 60.0 | 40% |
| Trend & RS | 48.1 | 20% |
| Momentum | 67.6 | 20% |
| Fundamental | 88.9 | 0% |
| Macro | 64.4 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 56.5 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 368.74 |
| Stop Loss | 321.50 (12.8%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 415.98 (+12.8%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 463.22 (+25.6%) |
| ATR(14) | 23.62 (6.4%) |
| Risk per Share | 47.24 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 0.0 | -2.00 | |
| Momentum | 67.6 | +0.70 | |
| Quality | 49.4 | -0.02 | |
| Composite | 39.0 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
7
/9 —
Strong
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
324.29
—
Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 526.8 | 28.0 | +1781% above |
| P/B Ratio | 10.1 | 6.0 | Above |
Comparing against Technology median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
21.82
vs
Market Price
368.74
Upside
-94.1%
| Margin of Safety | -1590.1% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 346,059,990 |
| Terminal Value PV | 1,408,784,560 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 1,754,844,550 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 45,041,879 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 25.0% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.5%
Recommended Size
39.18%
Full Kelly
19.59%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 60/100. Estimated win rate 58%, avg win 8.6%, avg loss 3.8%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
BEAR
Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%
Signal Summary BUY
3
Bullish Signals
2
Bearish Signals
42.23
RSI(14)
5.9827
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS
20
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | → FLAT (+0.4% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | OUTPERFORMING (Technology) |
| RS New High | No (16d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | +11.3% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS:
Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 42.23 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 5.9827 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 373.45 / 342.45 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | LOWER BAND | |
| Volume | 1.06x | NORMAL |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 473.10 |
| Bollinger Upper | 480.9 |
| SMA(200) | 342.45 |
| SMA(50) | 373.45 |
| SMA(20) | 425.42 |
| Current Price | 368.74 |
| Bollinger Lower | 369.94 |
| 52-Week Low | 215.68 |
| ATR(14) | 23.62 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
ACCUMULATION E
Confidence
50%
Acc: 1.0 |
Dist: 1.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Normal | 0.9x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-01 | Normal | 1.86x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-02 | Stopping Volume | 3.8x | High volume down-bar closing near low — potential climax (Stopping Volume) |
| 2026-09-03 | Normal | 1.37x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-09-04 | Normal | 1.06x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 411.88 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 399.05 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 405.46 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 381.84 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 381.84 – 405.46 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 368.74 | Below Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 337.48 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 3/4 | NEUTRAL |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BEARISH
BB: 369.94 – 480.9 | KC: 389.4 – 461.44
Divergences (last 60 bars)
No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 339.29
Anchor: 2026-04-10 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+8.7%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/MDB
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 29.66B |
| P/E (TTM) | 526.77 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 10.11 |
| EPS | 0.70 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 30.5% |
| Profit Margin | 2.1% |
| ROE | 2.0% |
| Debt/Equity | 1.85 |
| Current Ratio | 4.87 |
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 1.58 |
Trading Data
368.74
Open
368.74
Day High
368.74
Day Low
2.07M
Volume (1.3x avg)
Recent News (8)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)