MongoDB, Inc.
MDB · Technology · · USDFahodi Score SELL Mid-term (Position)
36
/ 100
Technical
40
Trend & RS
37
Momentum
19
Fundamental
78
Macro
22
Liquidity
48
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 40.0 | 20% |
| Trend & RS | 36.7 | 30% |
| Momentum | 18.6 | 15% |
| Fundamental | 77.8 | 10% |
| Macro | 22.5 | 20% |
| Liquidity | 47.9 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 304.59 |
| Stop Loss | 257.53 (15.4%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 351.65 (+15.4%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 398.71 (+30.9%) |
| ATR(14) | 23.53 (7.7%) |
| Risk per Share | 47.06 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 9.3 | -1.63 | |
| Momentum | 18.6 | -1.26 | |
| Quality | 49.4 | -0.02 | |
| Composite | 25.7 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
7
/9 —
Strong
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 423.0 | 28.0 | +1411% above |
| P/B Ratio | 8.2 | 6.0 | Above |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% | 0.8% | Below avg |
Comparing against Technology median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
22.44
vs
Market Price
304.59
Upside
-92.6%
| Margin of Safety | -1257.3% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 356,498,005 |
| Terminal Value PV | 1,451,276,953 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 1,807,774,958 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 46,400,452 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 25.0% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
21.82%
Full Kelly
10.91%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 36/100. Estimated win rate 51%, avg win 7.2%, avg loss 4.3%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary SELL
2
Bullish Signals
3
Bearish Signals
34.55
RSI(14)
-11.8836
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS
29
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | ↓ FALLING (-18.6% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Technology) |
| RS New High | No (59d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -29.3% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS:
Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 34.55 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | -11.8836 | BEARISH |
| Ma Cross | 375.91 / 336.42 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | LOWER BAND | |
| Volume | 1.24x | NORMAL |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 473.10 |
| Bollinger Upper | 412.81 |
| SMA(200) | 336.42 |
| SMA(50) | 375.91 |
| SMA(20) | 362.43 |
| Current Price | 304.59 |
| Bollinger Lower | 312.05 |
| 52-Week Low | 215.68 |
| ATR(14) | 23.53 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
MARKDOWN
Confidence
100%
Acc: 0.0 |
Dist: 0.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 2.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | Normal | 0.99x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 0.85x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 0.75x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 0.94x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.24x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 348.71 | Below Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 354.01 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 351.36 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 377.20 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 351.36 – 377.20 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 304.59 | Below Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 351.73 | Bearish |
| Alignment Score | 0/4 | BEARISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BEARISH
BB: 312.05 – 412.81 | KC: 326.8 – 398.07
Divergences (last 60 bars)
| Type | Indicator | Bars Ago | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Bullish | RSI | 29 |
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 345.53
Anchor: 2026-04-10 (52w Low)
BELOW AVWAP
-11.8%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/MDB
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 24.54B |
| P/E (TTM) | 423.04 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 8.24 |
| EPS | 0.72 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 30.5% |
| Profit Margin | 2.1% |
| ROE | 2.0% |
| Debt/Equity | 1.85 |
| Current Ratio | 4.87 |
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 1.74 |
Trading Data
304.59
Open
304.59
Day High
304.59
Day Low
2.02M
Volume (0.9x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)