Mondelez International, Inc.
MDLZ · Consumer Defensive · · USDFahodi Score BUY Short-term (Swing)
77
/ 100
Technical
100
Trend & RS
90
Momentum
59
Fundamental (0%)
70
Macro
24
Liquidity
70
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 100.0 | 40% |
| Trend & RS | 89.5 | 20% |
| Momentum | 58.6 | 20% |
| Fundamental | 70.2 | 0% |
| Macro | 23.6 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 69.5 | 5% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 64.77 |
| Stop Loss | 61.57 (4.9%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 67.97 (+4.9%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 71.17 (+9.9%) |
| ATR(14) | 1.60 (2.5%) |
| Risk per Share | 3.20 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 64.4 | +0.57 | |
| Momentum | 58.6 | +0.34 | |
| Quality | 31.6 | -0.74 | |
| Composite | 51.5 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
6
/9 —
Average
✓
✓
✗
✗
✓
✗
✓
✓
✓
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
3.69
—
Safe Zone
Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe
Valuation vs Peers Overvalued
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 21.1 | 18.0 | +17% above |
| P/B Ratio | 3.2 | 2.5 | Above |
| Dividend Yield | 3.1% | 2.0% | Above avg |
Comparing against Consumer Defensive median multiples.
Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
39.65
vs
Market Price
66.82
Upside
-40.7%
| Margin of Safety | -68.5% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 13,322,667,088 |
| Terminal Value PV | 36,862,407,497 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 50,185,074,585 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 3,210,166,129 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 2.3% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 9.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
49.6%
Full Kelly
24.8%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 77/100. Estimated win rate 63%, avg win 9.6%, avg loss 3.5%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG BUY
4
Bullish Signals
0
Bearish Signals
54.82
RSI(14)
1.2488
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) IMPROVING
73
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | ↑ RISING (+11.2% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | INLINE (Consumer Defensive) |
| RS New High | Near 3-month high 2d since high |
| Sector Outperformance | -1.5% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
IMPROVING:
Gaining momentum — the stock is starting to outperform the market. Watch for RS new high confirmation.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 54.82 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | 1.2488 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 61.81 / 59.77 | GOLDEN CROSS |
| Trend Short | ABOVE SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | ABOVE SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.02x | LOW |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 68.75 |
| Bollinger Upper | 67.26 |
| SMA(200) | 59.77 |
| SMA(50) | 61.81 |
| SMA(20) | 63.85 |
| Current Price | 66.82 |
| Bollinger Lower | 60.43 |
| 52-Week Low | 51.20 |
| ATR(14) | 1.6 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
ACCUMULATION E
Confidence
50%
Acc: 1.0 |
Dist: 1.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 0.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.12x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 0.96x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.22x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.59x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-06 | No Demand | 0.02x | Low volume, narrow spread, weak close — no buying interest |
Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 65.13 | Above Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 63.03 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 64.08 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 63.03 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 63.03 – 64.08 | Bullish (Green) |
| Price vs Cloud | 64.77 | Above Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 58.19 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 4/4 | BULLISH |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH FADING
BB: 60.43 – 67.26 | KC: 61.43 – 66.27
Divergences (last 60 bars)
No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 59.29
Anchor: 2026-01-08 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+9.2%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
WEAKLY BEARISH
Full data via /api/advanced/MDLZ
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 84.58B |
| P/E (TTM) | 21.08 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 3.19 |
| EPS | 3.17 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | 2.3% |
| Profit Margin | 10.2% |
| ROE | 15.5% |
| Debt/Equity | 83.78 |
| Current Ratio | 0.62 |
| Dividend Yield | 3.1% |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 0.36 |
Trading Data
66.82
Open
66.82
Day High
66.82
Day Low
12.57M
Volume (1.6x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)