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Mondelez International, Inc.

MDLZ · Consumer Defensive · · USD
61.28 USD
0.00 (-0.28%)
● Updated 2026-09-07 20:34 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Short-term (Swing)

56
/ 100
Technical 50
Trend & RS 63
Momentum 53
Fundamental (0%) 56
Macro 64
Liquidity 52
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 50.0 40%
Trend & RS 63.0 20%
Momentum 53.4 20%
Fundamental 55.6 0%
Macro 64.4 15%
Liquidity 52.2 5%

Trade Setup

Entry 61.28
Stop Loss 58.64 (4.3%)
Target 1 (1:1) 63.92 (+4.3%)
Target 2 (2:1) 66.56 (+8.6%)
ATR(14) 1.32 (2.1%)
Risk per Share 2.64
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 67.7 +0.71
Momentum 53.4 +0.14
Quality 29.1 -0.84
Composite 50.1

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 5 /9 — Average
✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 22.4 18.0 +25% above
P/B Ratio 3.0 2.5 Above
Dividend Yield 3.4% 2.0% Above avg

Comparing against Consumer Defensive median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Overvalued

Intrinsic Value
36.90
vs
Market Price
61.28
Upside
-39.8%
Margin of Safety -66.1%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)12,166,600,497
Terminal Value PV34,925,274,856
Total Enterprise Value47,091,875,353

Assumptions

Base FCF2,787,456,932
Growth Rate (5yr)4.1%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.5%
Recommended Size
36.41%
Full Kelly
18.2%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 56/100. Estimated win rate 57%, avg win 8.3%, avg loss 3.9%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

BEAR Regime: BEAR (20% confidence) — position size reduced 10%

Signal Summary BUY

2
Bullish Signals
2
Bearish Signals
43.83
RSI(14)
-0.032
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL

57
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
RS vs SPY → FLAT (-5.1% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector INLINE (Consumer Defensive)
RS New High No (27d since high)
Sector Outperformance -2.9% (3M)
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS
NEUTRAL: In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 43.83 NEUTRAL
Macd -0.032 BEARISH
Ma Cross 61.51 / 58.44 GOLDEN CROSS
Trend Short BELOW SMA50
Trend Long ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger MIDDLE
Volume 1.15x NORMAL

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High66.65
Bollinger Upper64.84
SMA(200)58.44
SMA(50)61.51
SMA(20)62.73
Current Price61.28
Bollinger Lower60.62
52-Week Low51.20
ATR(14)1.32

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION E Confidence
50%
Acc: 1.0  |  Dist: 1.0  |  Markup: 0.0  |  Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-08-31 Normal 1.06x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-01 Normal 1.13x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-02 Normal 0.88x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-03 Normal 1.11x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-09-04 Normal 1.15x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BEARISH

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 62.64 Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 63.10 Base line
Senkou A 62.87 Leading span A
Senkou B 62.22 Leading span B
Cloud 62.22 – 62.87 Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud 61.28 Below Cloud
Chikou Span 62.31 Bearish
Alignment Score 1/4 BEARISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BEARISH
BB: 60.62 – 64.84  |  KC: 60.92 – 64.54

Divergences (last 60 bars)

No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 59.20 Anchor: 2026-01-08 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +3.5%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

BEARISH Full data via /api/advanced/MDLZ

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap78.21B
P/E (TTM)22.45
Forward P/EN/A
P/B2.95
EPS2.73

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth4.1%
Profit Margin8.9%
ROE13.3%
Debt/Equity82.64
Current Ratio0.60
Dividend Yield3.4%
Payout RatioN/A
Beta0.40

Trading Data

61.28
Open
61.28
Day High
61.28
Day Low
7.91M
Volume (0.9x avg)

Recent News (8)

Food giants face Poland ‘shrinkflation’ scrutiny
Just Food · 2026-09-07
Mondelēz shifts European biscuit packaging from plastic trays to paper
Packaging Gateway · 2026-09-07
Cramer Says the Snack Business Is Bad. Mondelez and Smucker Did Not Get the Message.
24/7 Wall St. · 2026-09-04
Mondelēz is scaling up its sports marketing by going more regional
Marketing Brew · 2026-09-04
Mondelez International Stock: Is MDLZ Underperforming the Consumer Staples Sector?
Barchart · 2026-09-03
Mondelēz, PepsiCo and pladis join forces for circular packaging trial
Packaging Gateway · 2026-09-02
3 Reasons to Sell MDLZ and 1 Stock to Buy Instead
StockStory · 2026-09-01
Why Is Mondelez (MDLZ) Down 3.1% Since Last Earnings Report?
Zacks · 2026-08-27

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —