Meta Platforms, Inc.

META · Communication Services · · USD

674.35 USD

+0.00 (6.79%)

● Updated 2026-07-10 17:06 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Short-term (Swing)

/ 100

Technical 60

Trend & RS 57

Momentum 63

Fundamental (0%) 89

Macro 71

Liquidity 61

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	60.0	40%
Trend & RS	57.0	20%
Momentum	63.1	20%
Fundamental	88.9	0%
Macro	71.2	15%
Liquidity	60.8	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	670.94
Stop Loss	618.36 (7.8%)
Target 1 (1:1)	723.52 (+7.8%)
Target 2 (2:1)	776.10 (+15.7%)

ATR(14)	26.29 (3.9%)
Risk per Share	52.58
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	47.5	-0.10
Momentum	63.1	+0.53
Quality	74.8	+0.99
Composite	61.8

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 7 /9 — Strong

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 13.94 — Safe Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	24.6	18.0	+36% above
P/B Ratio	7.0	3.0	Above
Dividend Yield	33.0%	1.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Communication Services median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Undervalued

Intrinsic Value

856.19

Market Price

674.35

Upside

+27.0%

Margin of Safety	+21.2%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	370,787,331,647
Terminal Value PV	1,509,447,741,541
Total Enterprise Value	1,880,235,073,188

Assumptions

Base FCF	48,260,297,842
Growth Rate (5yr)	25.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.8%

Recommended Size

40.55%

Full Kelly

20.28%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 62/100. Estimated win rate 59%, avg win 8.7%, avg loss 3.8%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (20% confidence) — position size reduced 4%

Signal Summary BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

66.61

RSI(14)

8.7463

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	→ FLAT (-4.1% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	INLINE (Communication Servic)
RS New High	No (57d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+5.1% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

NEUTRAL: In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	66.61	NEUTRAL
Macd	8.7463	BULLISH
Ma Cross	600.12 / 641.68	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		ABOVE SMA200
Bollinger		UPPER BAND
Volume	0.75x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	796.25
Bollinger Upper	647.55
SMA(200)	641.68
SMA(50)	600.12
SMA(20)	584.64
Current Price	674.35
Bollinger Lower	521.73
52-Week Low	520.26
ATR(14)	26.29

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

MARKUP Confidence

43%

Sign of Strength

Acc: 1.0 | Dist: 1.0 | Markup: 1.5 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-07-06	Normal	0.93x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-07	Normal	0.98x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-08	Normal	0.72x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-09	Normal	1.38x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-10	Normal	0.75x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	614.64	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	609.01	Base line
Senkou A	611.83	Leading span A
Senkou B	611.02	Leading span B
Cloud	611.02 – 611.83	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	670.94	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	622.40	Bullish
Alignment Score	4/4	BULLISH