Meta Platforms, Inc.

META · Communication Services · · USD

631.48 USD

+0.00 (4.70%)

● Updated 2026-07-10 16:06 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Mid-term (Position)

/ 100

Technical 40

Trend & RS 45

Momentum 53

Fundamental 78

Macro 78

Liquidity 76

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	40.0	20%
Trend & RS	44.9	30%
Momentum	53.0	15%
Fundamental	77.8	10%
Macro	78.4	20%
Liquidity	76.3	5%

Trade Setup

Entry	631.48
Stop Loss	582.00 (7.8%)
Target 1 (1:1)	680.96 (+7.8%)
Target 2 (2:1)	730.44 (+15.7%)

ATR(14)	24.74 (3.9%)
Risk per Share	49.48
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	48.0	-0.08
Momentum	53.0	+0.12
Quality	74.8	+0.99
Composite	58.6

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 7 /9 — Strong

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Overvalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	23.0	18.0	+28% above
P/B Ratio	6.6	3.0	Above
Dividend Yield	33.0%	1.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Communication Services median multiples.

Trading at a premium to sector peers — verify growth justifies premium.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Undervalued

Intrinsic Value

856.19

Market Price

631.48

Upside

+35.6%

Margin of Safety	+26.2%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	428,595,464,256
Terminal Value PV	1,744,780,364,207
Total Enterprise Value	2,173,375,828,463

Assumptions

Base FCF	55,784,389,037
Growth Rate (5yr)	25.0%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.8%

Recommended Size

37.23%

Full Kelly

18.61%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 57/100. Estimated win rate 57%, avg win 8.4%, avg loss 3.9%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (20% confidence) — position size reduced 4%

Signal Summary SELL

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

60.0

RSI(14)

2.8413

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	→ FLAT (-8.3% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	INLINE (Communication Servic)
RS New High	No (56d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+2.4% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	60.0	NEUTRAL
Macd	2.8413	BULLISH
Ma Cross	600.12 / 642.14	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		UPPER BAND
Volume	1.37x	NORMAL

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	796.25
Bollinger Upper	627.84
SMA(200)	642.14
SMA(50)	600.12
SMA(20)	579.62
Current Price	631.48
Bollinger Lower	531.39
52-Week Low	520.26
ATR(14)	24.74

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION E Confidence

50%

Acc: 1.0 | Dist: 1.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-07-02	Normal	1.14x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-06	Normal	0.93x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-07	Normal	0.97x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-08	Normal	0.71x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-09	Normal	1.37x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	586.84	Below Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	590.99	Base line
Senkou A	588.91	Leading span A
Senkou B	611.02	Leading span B
Cloud	588.91 – 611.02	Bearish (Red)
Price vs Cloud	631.48	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	597.08	Bullish
Alignment Score	2/4	NEUTRAL