MGM Resorts International
MGM · Consumer Cyclical · · USDFahodi Score STRONG SELL Long-term (Investment)
30
/ 100
Technical
25
Trend & RS
28
Momentum
30
Fundamental
33
Macro
24
Liquidity
29
| Component | Score | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| Technical | 25.0 | 10% |
| Trend & RS | 28.3 | 10% |
| Momentum | 30.1 | 5% |
| Fundamental | 33.3 | 40% |
| Macro | 23.8 | 15% |
| Liquidity | 29.1 | 20% |
Trade Setup
| Entry | 31.95 |
| Stop Loss | 29.51 (7.6%) |
| Target 1 (1:1) | 34.39 (+7.6%) |
| Target 2 (2:1) | 36.83 (+15.3%) |
| ATR(14) | 1.22 (3.8%) |
| Risk per Share | 2.44 |
| Reward:Risk | 2:1 |
ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.
Factor Profile
| Factor | Score | Z | Bar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Value | 77.5 | +1.10 | |
| Momentum | 30.1 | -0.79 | |
| Quality | 40.9 | -0.36 | |
| Composite | 49.5 | ||
Quality Scores
Piotroski F-Score
3
/9 —
Weak
✓
✓
✗
✗
✗
✗
✓
✗
✗
1. Positive Net Income
2. Positive Roa
3. Positive Cfo
4. Quality Earnings
5. Lower Leverage
6. Higher Liquidity
7. No Dilution
8. Higher Gross Margin
9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score
Insufficient Data
Valuation vs Peers Fair Value
| Metric | Stock | Sector | vs Peers |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 12.4 | 18.0 | -31% below |
| P/B Ratio | 3.2 | 2.5 | Above |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% | 2.0% | Below avg |
Comparing against Consumer Cyclical median multiples.
Intrinsic Value (DCF) Overvalued
Intrinsic Value
27.83
vs
Market Price
32.14
Upside
-13.4%
| Margin of Safety | -15.5% |
| Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF) | 2,109,927,003 |
| Terminal Value PV | 4,930,624,963 |
| Total Enterprise Value | 7,040,551,966 |
Assumptions
| Base FCF | 526,261,907 |
| Growth Rate (5yr) | 2.0% |
| Terminal Growth | 2.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 10.0% |
2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.
Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion
4.6%
Recommended Size
15.53%
Full Kelly
7.77%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)
Kelly inputs derived from quant score 30/100. Estimated win rate 49%, avg win 6.8%, avg loss 4.4%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.
RECOVERY
Regime: RECOVERY (40% confidence) — position size reduced 8%
Signal Summary STRONG SELL
1
Bullish Signals
3
Bearish Signals
54.82
RSI(14)
-0.3734
MACD
Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS
33
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
| RS vs SPY | ↓ FALLING (-21.3% vs SPY 3M) |
| RS vs Sector | UNDERPERFORMING (Consumer Cyclical) |
| RS New High | No (54d since high) |
| Sector Outperformance | -24.8% (3M) |
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older
newer →
RS vs SPY
50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS:
Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.
Technical Indicators
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Rsi | 54.82 | NEUTRAL |
| Macd | -0.3734 | BULLISH |
| Ma Cross | 33.64 / 38.98 | DEATH CROSS |
| Trend Short | BELOW SMA50 | |
| Trend Long | BELOW SMA200 | |
| Bollinger | MIDDLE | |
| Volume | 0.01x | LOW |
Key Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | 51.59 |
| Bollinger Upper | 32.58 |
| SMA(200) | 38.98 |
| SMA(50) | 33.64 |
| SMA(20) | 29.55 |
| Current Price | 32.14 |
| Bollinger Lower | 26.53 |
| 52-Week Low | 26.71 |
| ATR(14) | 1.22 |
Advanced Technical Analysis
Click to expand
Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis
Wyckoff Phase
MARKDOWN
Confidence
100%
Acc: 0.0 |
Dist: 0.0 |
Markup: 0.0 |
Markdown: 2.0
Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)
| Date | Signal | Vol | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | Normal | 1.36x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-03 | Normal | 1.44x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-04 | Normal | 1.47x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-05 | Normal | 1.02x | Normal bar — no special VSA pattern |
| 2026-11-06 | No Demand | 0.01x | Low volume, narrow spread, weak close — no buying interest |
Ichimoku Cloud NEUTRAL
| Line | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Tenkan-sen (9) | 29.98 | Below Kijun |
| Kijun-sen (26) | 29.98 | Base line |
| Senkou A | 29.98 | Leading span A |
| Senkou B | 35.17 | Leading span B |
| Cloud | 29.98 – 35.17 | Bearish (Red) |
| Price vs Cloud | 31.95 | Inside Cloud |
| Chikou Span | 30.48 | Bullish |
| Alignment Score | 1/4 | NEUTRAL |
TTM Squeeze & Divergences
TTM Squeeze
SQUEEZE OFF
No squeeze
Momentum:
BULLISH FADING
BB: 26.53 – 32.58 | KC: 27.8 – 31.3
Divergences (last 60 bars)
No significant divergences detected in the last 60 bars.
Anchored VWAP
VWAP: 30.44
Anchor: 2026-10-29 (52w Low)
ABOVE AVWAP
+5.0%
Heikin-Ashi Trend
BULLISH
Full data via /api/advanced/MGM
Valuation
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | 8.13B |
| P/E (TTM) | 12.36 |
| Forward P/E | N/A |
| P/B | 3.23 |
| EPS | 2.60 |
Financial Health
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Revenue Growth | -0.9% |
| Profit Margin | 3.9% |
| ROE | 26.9% |
| Debt/Equity | 880.33 |
| Current Ratio | 1.24 |
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
| Payout Ratio | N/A |
| Beta | 1.32 |
Trading Data
32.14
Open
32.14
Day High
32.14
Day Low
222.5K
Volume (0.1x avg)
Price Chart (90 Days)
Candlesticks (green=up, red=down)
SMA 20
SMA 50
Bollinger Bands (upper/lower)
Volume (green=buying, red=selling)