McCormick & Company, Incorporated

MKC · Consumer Defensive · · USD

52.47 USD

+0.00 (1.75%)

● Updated 2026-07-10 17:37 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh

Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Long-term (Investment)

/ 100

Technical 50

Trend & RS 47

Momentum 41

Fundamental 62

Macro 65

Liquidity 32

Component	Score	Weight
Technical	50.0	10%
Trend & RS	47.0	10%
Momentum	40.7	5%
Fundamental	62.3	40%
Macro	65.2	15%
Liquidity	31.5	20%

Trade Setup

Entry	52.83
Stop Loss	49.52 (6.2%)
Target 1 (1:1)	56.12 (+6.2%)
Target 2 (2:1)	59.42 (+12.5%)

ATR(14)	1.65 (3.1%)
Risk per Share	3.30
Reward:Risk	2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor	Score	Z
Value	78.7	+1.15
Momentum	40.7	-0.37
Quality	47.1	-0.12
Composite	55.5

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average

✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓

1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover

Altman Z-Score 2.90 — Grey Zone

Distress <1.81Grey 1.81–2.99>2.99 Safe

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

Metric	Stock	Sector	vs Peers
P/E Ratio	8.7	18.0	-51% below
P/B Ratio	2.0	2.5	Below
Dividend Yield	3.7%	2.0%	Above avg

Comparing against Consumer Defensive median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Undervalued

Intrinsic Value

136.07

Market Price

52.47

Upside

+159.3%

Margin of Safety	+61.4%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)	7,517,851,869
Terminal Value PV	27,052,134,605
Total Enterprise Value	34,569,986,474

Assumptions

Base FCF	1,219,464,720
Growth Rate (5yr)	16.7%
Terminal Growth	2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)	9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.8%

Recommended Size

34.45%

Full Kelly

17.22%

Half Kelly

5.0%

Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 53/100. Estimated win rate 56%, avg win 8.2%, avg loss 3.9%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (20% confidence) — position size reduced 4%

Signal Summary BUY

Bullish Signals

Bearish Signals

63.52

RSI(14)

1.2849

MACD

Relative Strength (RS) NEUTRAL

/ 99

RS Rating

O'Neil filter: <80

RS vs SPY	→ FLAT (-6.3% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector	OUTPERFORMING (Consumer Defensive)
RS New High	No (62d since high)
Sector Outperformance	+9.3% (3M)

RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)

← older newer →

RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS

NEUTRAL: In line with the market — no strong outperformance or underperformance.

Technical Indicators

Indicator	Value	Signal
Rsi	63.52	NEUTRAL
Macd	1.2849	BULLISH
Ma Cross	48.08 / 58.58	DEATH CROSS
Trend Short		ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long		BELOW SMA200
Bollinger		MIDDLE
Volume	0.1x	LOW

Key Levels

Level	Price
52-Week High	73.84
Bollinger Upper	54.58
SMA(200)	58.58
SMA(50)	48.08
SMA(20)	49.43
Current Price	52.47
Bollinger Lower	44.28
52-Week Low	44.82
ATR(14)	1.65

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION E Confidence

50%

Acc: 1.0 | Dist: 1.0 | Markup: 0.0 | Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

Date	Signal	Vol	Description
2026-07-06	Normal	0.6x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-07	Normal	0.58x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-08	Normal	0.55x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-09	Normal	0.7x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-10	Normal	0.1x	Normal bar — no special VSA pattern

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

Line	Value	Status
Tenkan-sen (9)	51.66	Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26)	49.59	Base line
Senkou A	50.63	Leading span A
Senkou B	49.15	Leading span B
Cloud	49.15 – 50.63	Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud	52.83	Above Cloud
Chikou Span	45.87	Bullish
Alignment Score	4/4	BULLISH