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McCormick & Company, Incorporated

MKC · Consumer Defensive · · USD
51.77 USD
+0.00 (0.48%)
● Updated 2026-07-10 17:07 Saudi Time ↻ Refresh
Short-term Mid-term Long-term

Fahodi Score HOLD Mid-term (Position)

52
/ 100
Technical 50
Trend & RS 45
Momentum 38
Fundamental 67
Macro 71
Liquidity 31
ComponentScoreWeight
Technical 50.0 20%
Trend & RS 45.4 30%
Momentum 38.2 15%
Fundamental 66.7 10%
Macro 71.2 20%
Liquidity 31.4 5%

Trade Setup

Entry 51.97
Stop Loss 48.78 (6.1%)
Target 1 (1:1) 55.15 (+6.1%)
Target 2 (2:1) 58.33 (+12.2%)
ATR(14) 1.59 (3.1%)
Risk per Share 3.18
Reward:Risk 2:1

ATR-based levels. Adjust for support/resistance zones.

Factor Profile

Factor Score Z Bar
Value 88.1 +1.53
Momentum 38.2 -0.47
Quality 47.1 -0.12
Composite 57.8

Quality Scores

Piotroski F-Score 6 /9 — Average
✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓
1. Positive Net Income 2. Positive Roa 3. Positive Cfo 4. Quality Earnings 5. Lower Leverage 6. Higher Liquidity 7. No Dilution 8. Higher Gross Margin 9. Higher Asset Turnover
Altman Z-Score Insufficient Data

Valuation vs Peers Undervalued

MetricStockSectorvs Peers
P/E Ratio 8.6 18.0 -52% below
P/B Ratio 2.0 2.5 Below
Dividend Yield 3.7% 2.0% Above avg

Comparing against Consumer Defensive median multiples.

Trading at a discount to sector peers — potential value opportunity.

Intrinsic Value (DCF) Significantly Undervalued

Intrinsic Value
136.07
vs
Market Price
51.77
Upside
+162.8%
Margin of Safety +62.0%
Stage 1 PV (5yr FCF)7,955,698,196
Terminal Value PV28,627,674,791
Total Enterprise Value36,583,372,987

Assumptions

Base FCF1,290,487,422
Growth Rate (5yr)16.7%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Discount Rate (WACC)9.0%

2-stage DCF: 5yr projected FCF + Gordon Growth terminal value. Estimates only — adjust growth and WACC for your own assumptions.

Position Sizing — Kelly Criterion

4.8%
Recommended Size
33.8%
Full Kelly
16.9%
Half Kelly
5.0%
Max Cap (Moderate)

Kelly inputs derived from quant score 52/100. Estimated win rate 56%, avg win 8.1%, avg loss 4.0%. Position was capped at the moderate risk maximum. This is analytical output, not a recommendation to trade.

RECOVERY Regime: RECOVERY (20% confidence) — position size reduced 4%

Signal Summary BUY

2
Bullish Signals
2
Bearish Signals
60.82
RSI(14)
1.2163
MACD

Relative Strength (RS) WEAK RS

38
/ 99
RS Rating
O'Neil filter: <80
RS vs SPY → FLAT (-8.2% vs SPY 3M)
RS vs Sector OUTPERFORMING (Consumer Defensive)
RS New High No (62d since high)
Sector Outperformance +8.0% (3M)
RS Line — stock / SPY (90 bars)
← older newer →
RS vs SPY 50-day SMA of RS
WEAK RS: Underperformer — the stock is lagging the market. Avoid until RS trend reverses upward.

Technical Indicators

IndicatorValueSignal
Rsi 60.82 NEUTRAL
Macd 1.2163 BULLISH
Ma Cross 48.06 / 58.57 DEATH CROSS
Trend Short ABOVE SMA50
Trend Long BELOW SMA200
Bollinger MIDDLE
Volume 0.04x LOW

Key Levels

LevelPrice
52-Week High73.84
Bollinger Upper54.43
SMA(200)58.57
SMA(50)48.06
SMA(20)49.39
Current Price51.77
Bollinger Lower44.34
52-Week Low44.82
ATR(14)1.59

Advanced Technical Analysis

Click to expand

Wyckoff Phase & Volume Spread Analysis

Wyckoff Phase

ACCUMULATION E Confidence
50%
Acc: 1.0  |  Dist: 1.0  |  Markup: 0.0  |  Markdown: 0.0

Volume Spread Analysis (last 5 bars)

DateSignalVolDescription
2026-07-06 Normal 0.6x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-07 Normal 0.58x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-08 Normal 0.55x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-09 Normal 0.71x Normal bar — no special VSA pattern
2026-07-10 No Supply 0.04x Low volume, narrow spread, firm close — no selling pressure

Ichimoku Cloud BULLISH

LineValueStatus
Tenkan-sen (9) 51.66 Above Kijun
Kijun-sen (26) 49.59 Base line
Senkou A 50.63 Leading span A
Senkou B 49.15 Leading span B
Cloud 49.15 – 50.63 Bullish (Green)
Price vs Cloud 51.97 Above Cloud
Chikou Span 45.87 Bullish
Alignment Score 4/4 BULLISH

TTM Squeeze & Divergences

TTM Squeeze

SQUEEZE OFF No squeeze Momentum: BULLISH
BB: 44.34 – 54.43  |  KC: 46.95 – 51.83

Divergences (last 60 bars)

TypeIndicatorBars AgoStrength
Regular Bullish RSI 14

Anchored VWAP

VWAP: 47.84 Anchor: 2026-05-13 (52w Low) ABOVE AVWAP +8.6%

Heikin-Ashi Trend

WEAKLY BULLISH Full data via /api/advanced/MKC

Valuation

MetricValue
Market Cap13.92B
P/E (TTM)8.63
Forward P/EN/A
P/B1.99
EPS6.00

Financial Health

MetricValue
Revenue Growth16.7%
Profit Margin21.9%
ROE24.7%
Debt/Equity65.14
Current Ratio0.78
Dividend Yield3.7%
Payout RatioN/A
Beta0.63

Trading Data

51.77
Open
51.77
Day High
51.77
Day Low
176.2K
Volume (0.0x avg)

Recent News (8)

Why McCormick’s (MKC) Dividend History Gives It a Cleaner Income-Tax Profile
Insider Monkey · 2026-07-08
McCormick Is Shifting From the Spice Rack to the Refrigerator With This $45 Billion Deal
Motley Fool · 2026-07-08
McCormick (MKC) Leaves Defensive Indexes, Where Does Fair Value Sit Now?
Simply Wall St. · 2026-07-07
What McCormick (MKC)'s Index Shift and Mixed Quarter Means For Shareholders
Simply Wall St. · 2026-07-07
When I Try to Imagine the Best Investment Opportunity for the Next 10 Years, Costco Stock Just Doesn't Make the Cut. That's Why I Keep Coming Back to This Stock.
Motley Fool · 2026-07-06
Jim Cramer Highlights General Mills’ “Blowout Quarter”
Insider Monkey · 2026-07-04
McCormick gets $28M tariff refund as Iran war raises costs
Supply Chain Dive · 2026-07-02
McCormick Growth Trends Rest on Innovation and Cost Savings Momentum
Zacks · 2026-07-02

Price Chart (90 Days)

Candlesticks (green=up, red=down) SMA 20 SMA 50 Bollinger Bands (upper/lower) Volume (green=buying, red=selling)
Powered by Fahodi Methodology. This is analytical output, not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence.  ·  Pipeline status  ·  Data: —